Utrecht at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Utrecht

24.6%25.7%49.7%
Utrecht WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.53
3Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Feyenoord
T 1-1 at Heerenveen
L 1-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 1-2 at Volendam
L 2-1 vs PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Heracles Almelo
W 3-1 at AZ Alkmaar
W 1-2 vs Zwolle
W 4-3 at NAC Breda
T 2-2 vs Ajax

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+360-+375+400+400+400+400+415.8
NEC Nijmegen-150--146-139-139-139-139-129.2
Draw+305-+285+300+300+300+300+312.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht-----+415.8
NEC Nijmegen------129.2
Draw-----+312.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +385 to +375
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -144 to -152

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105-o2¾-118o3+112o3+112o3+112o2¾-118o3+121
Underu3-125-u2¾-102u3-132u3-132u3-132u3-132u3-121
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+121
Under-----u3-121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.4%
 
No50.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.99%
Exactly 225.51%
Exactly 413.58%
Exactly 62.89%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.18%
Exactly 321.49%
Exactly 56.86%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 036.93%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.33%
Exactly 36.09%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 021.63%
Exactly 133.11%
Exactly 225.35%
Exactly 312.94%
Exactly 44.95%
Exactly 51.52%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.03%
Exactly 221.25%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 38.29%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 063.05%
Exactly 129.08%
Exactly 26.71%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 049.21%
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 212.37%
Exactly 32.92%
Exactly 40.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals8.79%
Wins by 3+ goals2.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals25.34%
Wins by 3+ goals10.21%
Wins by 4+ goals3.30%
Wins by 5+ goals0.85%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal15.78%
Wins by 2 goals6.40%
Wins by 3 goals1.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal24.25%
Wins by 2 goals15.13%
Wins by 3 goals6.90%
Wins by 4 goals2.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.70%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.01%7.99%
1.571.83%28.17%
2.546.32%53.68%
3.524.83%75.17%
4.511.25%88.75%
5.54.39%95.61%
6.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.07%36.93%
1.526.29%73.71%
2.57.96%92.04%
3.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.37%21.63%
1.545.26%54.74%
2.519.91%80.09%
3.56.96%93.04%
4.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.97%31.03%
1.532.66%67.34%
2.511.41%88.59%
3.53.12%96.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
7.99%
12.23%
9.36%
4.78%
1.83%
0.56%
1
7.96%
12.18%
9.33%
4.76%
1.82%
0.56%
2
3.96%
6.07%
4.65%
2.37%
0.91%
0.28%
3
1.32%
2.02%
1.54%
0.79%
0.30%
0.09%
4
0.33%
0.50%
0.38%
0.20%
0.08%
0.02%
Utrecht
1-07.96%
2-03.96%
2-16.07%
3-01.32%
3-12.02%
3-21.54%
4-00.33%
4-10.50%
4-20.38%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-07.99%
1-112.18%
2-24.65%
3-30.79%
NEC Nijmegen
0-112.23%
0-29.36%
1-29.33%
0-34.78%
1-34.76%
2-32.37%
0-41.83%
1-41.82%
2-40.91%
3-40.30%
0-50.56%
1-50.56%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
31.03%
22.00%
7.80%
1.84%
0.33%
1
14.31%
10.15%
3.60%
0.85%
0.15%
2
3.30%
2.34%
0.83%
0.20%
0.03%
3
0.51%
0.36%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-014.31%
2-03.30%
2-12.34%
3-00.51%
3-10.36%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-031.03%
1-110.15%
2-20.83%
NEC Nijmegen
0-122.00%
0-27.80%
1-23.60%
0-31.84%
1-30.85%
2-30.20%
0-40.33%
1-40.15%