Twente at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Twente

57.0%23.3%19.6%
Twente WinDrawWin
1.76Projected Goals 0.93
2Final Score 0

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Zwolle
T 1-1 at Feyenoord
W 0-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles
T 1-1 at Utrecht
W 0-1 vs AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sparta Rotterdam
L 3-0 vs Heerenveen
L 3-4 at PSV Eindhoven
T 1-1 vs Telstar
T 1-1 at Fortuna Sittard

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente-168--211-204-204-204-204-176.2
Heracles Almelo+400-+525+530+530+530+530+562.8
Draw+320-+345+350+350+350+350+373.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente------176.2
Heracles Almelo-----+562.8
Draw-----+373.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from -202 to -208
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +540 to +530

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108-o3+100o3-107o3-101o3-107o3+100o3+103
Underu3-112-u3-120u3-113u3-121u3-113u3-113u3-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+103
Under-----u3-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%
 
No50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.80%
Exactly 224.57%
Exactly 414.79%
Exactly 63.56%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.29%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.95%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 017.19%
Exactly 130.27%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 315.64%
Exactly 46.89%
Exactly 52.43%
Exactly 60.71%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 039.59%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 217.00%
Exactly 35.25%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.81%
Exactly 222.31%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 39.25%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 044.25%
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 214.71%
Exactly 34.00%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 065.11%
Exactly 127.94%
Exactly 25.99%
Exactly 30.86%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals32.19%
Wins by 3+ goals14.59%
Wins by 4+ goals5.42%
Wins by 5+ goals1.67%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals6.52%
Wins by 3+ goals1.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Twente
Wins by 1 goal24.81%
Wins by 2 goals17.60%
Wins by 3 goals9.17%
Wins by 4 goals3.75%
Wins by 5 goals1.25%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal13.05%
Wins by 2 goals4.87%
Wins by 3 goals1.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.20%6.80%
1.574.91%25.09%
2.550.34%49.66%
3.528.32%71.68%
4.513.53%86.47%
5.55.58%94.42%
6.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.81%17.19%
1.552.55%47.45%
2.525.90%74.10%
3.510.25%89.75%
4.53.37%96.63%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.41%39.59%
1.523.73%76.27%
2.56.73%93.27%
3.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.19%28.81%
1.535.34%64.66%
2.513.03%86.97%
3.53.78%96.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
6.80%
6.30%
2.92%
0.90%
0.21%
1
11.98%
11.10%
5.14%
1.59%
0.37%
2
10.55%
9.78%
4.53%
1.40%
0.32%
3
6.19%
5.74%
2.66%
0.82%
0.19%
4
2.73%
2.53%
1.17%
0.36%
0.08%
5
0.96%
0.89%
0.41%
0.13%
0.03%
Twente
1-011.98%
2-010.55%
2-19.78%
3-06.19%
3-15.74%
3-22.66%
4-02.73%
4-12.53%
4-21.17%
4-30.36%
5-00.96%
5-10.89%
5-20.41%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.80%
1-111.10%
2-24.53%
3-30.82%
Heracles Almelo
0-16.30%
0-22.92%
1-25.14%
0-30.90%
1-31.59%
2-31.40%
0-40.21%
1-40.37%
2-40.32%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
Heracles Almelo
Score0123
0
28.81%
12.36%
2.65%
0.38%
1
23.49%
10.08%
2.16%
0.31%
2
9.58%
4.11%
0.88%
0.13%
3
2.60%
1.12%
0.24%
0.03%
4
0.53%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
Twente
1-023.49%
2-09.58%
2-14.11%
3-02.60%
3-11.12%
3-20.24%
4-00.53%
4-10.23%
Draw
0-028.81%
1-110.08%
2-20.88%
Heracles Almelo
0-112.36%
0-22.65%
1-22.16%
0-30.38%
1-30.31%
2-30.13%
Utrecht at Volendam
Sparta R'dam at Feyenoord