AZ Alkmaar at Twente

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

32.3%26.5%41.2%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawTwente Win
1.19Projected Goals 1.37
0Final Score 1

Twente

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 1-3 at Heerenveen
L 5-1 vs PSV Eindhoven
W 1-0 at Sparta Rotterdam
W 1-4 vs Utrecht
W 2-0 at Ajax
Twente
Money Line
T 1-1 at Volendam
T 0-0 vs Telstar
T 1-1 at Groningen
L 3-2 vs Ajax
T 3-3 at NEC Nijmegen

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+200-+205+180+180+180+205+201.9
Twente+124-+117+120+120+120+120+137.2
Draw+255-+260+275+275+275+275+304.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-----+201.9
Twente-----+137.2
Draw-----+304.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +187 to +175
Twente ML moved from +121 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105-o3-112o3-115o3-115o3-115o3-112o3-104
Underu3-115-u3-108u3-105u3-105u3-105u3-105u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-104
Under-----u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.76%
Exactly 225.35%
Exactly 413.81%
Exactly 63.01%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.83%
Exactly 321.60%
Exactly 57.06%
Exactly 71.10%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 030.61%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 221.45%
Exactly 38.46%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 025.34%
Exactly 134.79%
Exactly 223.88%
Exactly 310.92%
Exactly 43.75%
Exactly 51.03%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.62%
Exactly 221.45%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 38.46%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 057.81%
Exactly 131.68%
Exactly 28.68%
Exactly 31.59%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 052.96%
Exactly 133.66%
Exactly 210.70%
Exactly 32.27%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals13.31%
Wins by 3+ goals4.26%
Wins by 4+ goals1.09%
Wins by 5+ goals0.22%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals19.15%
Wins by 3+ goals6.99%
Wins by 4+ goals2.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Twente
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal18.96%
Wins by 2 goals9.05%
Wins by 3 goals3.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal21.99%
Wins by 2 goals12.17%
Wins by 3 goals4.94%
Wins by 4 goals1.57%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.24%7.76%
1.572.41%27.59%
2.547.06%52.94%
3.525.46%74.54%
4.511.65%88.35%
5.54.59%95.41%
6.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.39%30.61%
1.533.15%66.85%
2.511.70%88.30%
3.53.24%96.76%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.66%25.34%
1.539.87%60.13%
2.515.99%84.01%
3.55.07%94.93%
4.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.38%30.62%
1.533.15%66.85%
2.511.70%88.30%
3.53.24%96.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Twente
Score012345
0
7.76%
10.65%
7.31%
3.34%
1.15%
0.32%
1
9.18%
12.61%
8.65%
3.96%
1.36%
0.37%
2
5.44%
7.46%
5.12%
2.34%
0.80%
0.22%
3
2.14%
2.94%
2.02%
0.92%
0.32%
0.09%
4
0.63%
0.87%
0.60%
0.27%
0.09%
0.03%
5
0.15%
0.21%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-09.18%
2-05.44%
2-17.46%
3-02.14%
3-12.94%
3-22.02%
4-00.63%
4-10.87%
4-20.60%
4-30.27%
5-00.15%
5-10.21%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-07.76%
1-112.61%
2-25.12%
3-30.92%
Twente
0-110.65%
0-27.31%
1-28.65%
0-33.34%
1-33.96%
2-32.34%
0-41.15%
1-41.36%
2-40.80%
3-40.32%
0-50.32%
1-50.37%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Twente
Score01234
0
30.62%
19.46%
6.18%
1.31%
0.21%
1
16.78%
10.66%
3.39%
0.72%
0.11%
2
4.60%
2.92%
0.93%
0.20%
0.03%
3
0.84%
0.53%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-016.78%
2-04.60%
2-12.92%
3-00.84%
3-10.53%
3-20.17%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-030.62%
1-110.66%
2-20.93%
Twente
0-119.46%
0-26.18%
1-23.39%
0-31.31%
1-30.72%
2-30.20%
0-40.21%
1-40.11%