New England at Las Vegas

Updated

New England Patriots

(4-13)
Rank29
P/G13.9
PA/G21.5
56.3%43.7%
New England WinLas Vegas Win
23.1Projected Points 20.6
24Final Score 30

Las Vegas Raiders

(8-9)
Rank19
P/G19.5
PA/G19.5
Rank29
P/G13.9
PA/G21.5
Rank19
P/G19.5
PA/G19.5

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.210220.078

Derek Carr

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.013240.02010

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 27-13 at Arizona CardinalsNE: Mac Jones • ARI: Kyler Murray-130
L 24-10 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones+180
L 26-33 at Minnesota VikingsNE: Mac Jones • MIN: Kirk Cousins+130
W 3-10 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • NE: Mac Jones-170
W 3-26 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Sam Ehlinger • NE: Mac Jones-210
Las Vegas Raiders
Money Line
L 16-17 at Los Angeles RamsVEG: Derek Carr • LAR: Baker Mayfield-254
W 20-27 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • VEG: Derek Carr-140
W 40-34 at Seattle SeahawksVEG: Derek Carr • SEA: Geno Smith+180
W 22-16 at Denver BroncosVEG: Derek Carr • DEN: Russell Wilson+131
L 25-20 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Matt Ryan • VEG: Derek Carr-200

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • OLIsaiah WynnIR
  • DTChristian BarmoreIR
  • DBJack JonesOut
  • WRTy MontgomeryOut for Season
  • RBRhamondre StevensonProbable
  • WRDeVante ParkerOut
  • DBCody DavisOut for Season
  • RBDamien HarrisOut
  • CBJalen MillsOut
  • WRJakobi MeyersProbable

Las Vegas Raiders

Status
  • DTAndrew BillingsOut
  • OLJermaine EluemunorProbable
  • CBAnthony AverettIR
  • GLester Cotton Sr.IR
  • CBRock Ya-SinOut
  • GJohn SimpsonOut for Season
  • RBJosh JacobsProbable
  • LBDenzel PerrymanProbable
  • OLAlex BarsOut
  • LBJayon BrownOut
  • TEDarren WallerProbable
  • TEJesper HorstedProbable
  • WRHunter RenfrowProbable
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Ron Torbert
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-102+115+115+115+115+115+115+123.5
Las Vegas-118-135-135-135-135-135-135-123.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-110+120+120+115+125+120+125+123.5
Las Vegas-110-140-138-135-145-140-135-123.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+2-110+2½-108+2½-110+2½-118+1+108+2½-118+2½-108+1+117
Las Vegas-2-110-2½-108-2½-110-2½-102-1-128-2½-102-2½-102-1-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+0-110+2½-110+2½-110+2-110+2½-105+2½-110+2½-105+1+117
Las Vegas+0-110-2½-110-2½-110-2-110-2½-115-2½-110-2-110-1-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 40.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 10.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +2½-107 to +2½-119
Las Vegas Spread moved from +0-102 to +0-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 40.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 10.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +1½-110 to +1-110
Las Vegas Spread moved from -1-110 to -2-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o45-108o45½-110o45-113o45½-110o45-113o45-108o45½+100
Underu45½-110u45-108u45½-110u45-107u45½-110u45-107u45½-110u45½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-110o45-110o45-110o45½-110o45½-110o45½-110o45-110o45½+100
Underu44½-110u45-110u45-110u45½-110u45½-110u45½-110u45½-110u45½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45-111 to o45-113
The Under moved from u45-110 to u44½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45-110
The Under moved from u45½-110 to u45-110
Dallas at Jacksonville
Arizona at Denver