New England at Minnesota

Updated

New England Patriots

(4-13)
Rank29
P/G13.9
PA/G21.5
36.4%63.6%
New England WinMinnesota Win
20.9Projected Points 24.5
26Final Score 33

Minnesota Vikings

(7-10)
Rank22
P/G20.2
PA/G21.3
Rank29
P/G13.9
PA/G21.5
Rank22
P/G20.2
PA/G21.3

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.16190.047

Kirk Cousins

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.19262.0148

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 3-10 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • NE: Mac Jones-170
W 3-26 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Sam Ehlinger • NE: Mac Jones-210
W 22-17 at New York JetsNE: Mac Jones • NYJ: Zach Wilson-155
L 33-14 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • NE: Bailey Zappe-380
W 38-15 at Cleveland BrownsNE: Bailey Zappe • CLE: Jacoby Brissett+130
Minnesota Vikings
Money Line
L 40-3 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • MIN: Kirk Cousins+125
W 33-30 at Buffalo BillsMIN: Kirk Cousins • BUF: Josh Allen+245
W 20-17 at Washington CommandersMIN: Kirk Cousins • WAS: Taylor Heinicke-162
W 26-34 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Kyler Murray • MIN: Kirk Cousins-190
W 24-16 at Miami DolphinsMIN: Kirk Cousins • MIA: Skylar Thompson-170

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • PJake BaileyProbable
  • CDavid AndrewsOut
  • WRDeVante ParkerProbable
  • DTChristian BarmoreIR
  • DBMarcus JonesProbable
  • OLIsaiah WynnOut
  • OLMarcus CannonIR

Minnesota Vikings

Status
  • CBAndrew Booth Jr.Out
  • TEIrv Smith Jr.Out
  • TChristian DarrisawOut
  • DTDalvin TomlinsonOut
  • CBAkayleb EvansOut
  • CBCameron DantzlerIR
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Alex Kemp
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+155+125+130+118+125+118+130+133.2
Minnesota-175-145-150-138-145-138-138-133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+155+125+125+125+130+125+130+133.2
Minnesota-175-145-143-145-150-145-143-133.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+3½-120+2½-103+2½+100+2½-102+2½+100+2½-102+2½+100+2½+109
Minnesota-3½+100-2½-113-2½-120-2½-118-2½-120-2½-118-2½-113-2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+3½-110+2½-110+2½+100+2½+100+3-119+2½+100+2½+100+2½+109
Minnesota-3½-110-2½-110-2½-120-2½-120-3-101-2½-120-2½-110-2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Minnesota: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 70.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +2½+102 to +2½-108
No Steam Moves On Minnesota Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Minnesota: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 70.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +3-120 to +2½-110
No Steam Moves On Minnesota Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44-110o42½-108o42-110o41½-110o42-110o41½-110o41½-108o42+100
Underu44-110u42½-108u42-110u41½-110u42-110u41½-110u42½-108u42+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o42-110o41½-110o41½-110o42½-110o41½-110o41½-110o42+100
Underu43½-110u42-110u41½-110u41½-110u42½-110u41½-110u42½-110u42+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-102 to o42-110
The Under moved from u41½-107 to u41½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u42½-110 to u41½-110
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