New England at Minnesota

Updated
Rank11
P/G20.8
PA/G18.8
36.4%63.6%
New England WinMinnesota Win
20.9Projected Points 24.5
26Final Score 33
Rank3
P/G24.1
PA/G23.2
Rank11
P/G20.8
PA/G18.8
Rank3
P/G24.1
PA/G23.2

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.16190.047

Kirk Cousins

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.19262.0148

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 3-10 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • NE: Mac Jones-170
W 3-26 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Sam Ehlinger • NE: Mac Jones-210
W 22-17 at New York JetsNE: Mac Jones • NYJ: Zach Wilson-155
L 33-14 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • NE: Bailey Zappe-380
W 38-15 at Cleveland BrownsNE: Bailey Zappe • CLE: Jacoby Brissett+130
Minnesota Vikings
Money Line
L 40-3 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • MIN: Kirk Cousins+125
W 33-30 at Buffalo BillsMIN: Kirk Cousins • BUF: Josh Allen+245
W 20-17 at Washington CommandersMIN: Kirk Cousins • WAS: Taylor Heinicke-162
W 26-34 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Kyler Murray • MIN: Kirk Cousins-190
W 24-16 at Miami DolphinsMIN: Kirk Cousins • MIA: Skylar Thompson-170

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • PJake BaileyProbable
  • CDavid AndrewsOut
  • WRDeVante ParkerProbable
  • DTChristian BarmoreIR
  • DBMarcus JonesProbable
  • OLIsaiah WynnOut
  • OLMarcus CannonIR

Minnesota Vikings

Status
  • CBAndrew Booth Jr.Out
  • TEIrv Smith Jr.Out
  • TChristian DarrisawOut
  • DTDalvin TomlinsonOut
  • CBAkayleb EvansOut
  • CBCameron DantzlerIR
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Alex Kemp
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+155+125+130+118+125+118+130+133.2
Minnesota-175-145-150-138-145-138-138-133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+155+125+125+125+130+125+130+133.2
Minnesota-175-145-143-145-150-145-143-133.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+3½-120+2½-103+2½+100+2½-102+2½+100+2½-102+2½+100+2½+109
Minnesota-3½+100-2½-113-2½-120-2½-118-2½-120-2½-118-2½-113-2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+3½-110+2½-110+2½+100+2½+100+3-119+2½+100+2½+100+2½+109
Minnesota-3½-110-2½-110-2½-120-2½-120-3-101-2½-120-2½-110-2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Minnesota: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Minnesota: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +2½+102 to +2½-108
No Steam Moves On Minnesota Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Minnesota: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Minnesota: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +3-120 to +2½-110
No Steam Moves On Minnesota Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44-110o42½-108o42-110o41½-110o42-110o41½-110o41½-108o42+100
Underu44-110u42½-108u42-110u41½-110u42-110u41½-110u42½-108u42+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o42-110o41½-110o41½-110o42½-110o41½-110o41½-110o42+100
Underu43½-110u42-110u41½-110u41½-110u42½-110u41½-110u42½-110u42+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-102 to o42-110
The Under moved from u41½-107 to u41½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u42½-110 to u41½-110