New England at Buffalo

Updated
Rank3
P/G26.5
PA/G17.9
18.9%81.1%
WinBuffalo Win
16.4Projected Points 28.4
23Final Score 20
Rank7
P/G28.3
PA/G22.2
Rank3
P/G26.5
PA/G17.9
Rank7
P/G28.3
PA/G22.2

Quarterbacks

Drake Maye

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
74.04247.072

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.24241.071

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 13-42 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • NE: Drake Maye-240
L 21-14 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Aaron Rodgers • NE: Drake Maye+102
W 33-27 at Miami DolphinsNE: Drake Maye • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+120
L 20-13 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Geno Smith • NE: Drake Maye-135
W 16-23 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Joe Milton • NE: Drake Maye+155
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 19-31 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Spencer Rattler • BUF: Josh Allen-1100
W 21-31 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen-710
W 40-41 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • BUF: Josh Allen+110
L 29-32 at Kansas City ChiefsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes+100
W 25-27 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • BUF: Josh Allen+110

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • LBMarte MapuProbable
  • SJaylinn HawkinsProbable
  • CBCarlton Davis IIIProbable
  • LBJahlani TavaiProbable
  • GJared WilsonProbable
  • DEMilton WilliamsProbable
  • LBK'Lavon ChaissonOut

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • LBDorian WilliamsOut
  • TSpencer BrownProbable
  • TEJackson HawesProbable
  • PCameron JohnstonIR
  • LBMatt MilanoProbable
  • DTT.J. SandersOut
  • DTEd OliverOut
  • CBDorian StrongIR
SSW 4 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)68°65°63°61°
Humidity65%70%74%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSW 4 mphS 5 mphSSE 6 mphSSE 6 mph
Shawn Hochuli
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+289+340+365+361+350+361+365+379.4
Buffalo-360-420-470-465-450-465-420-379.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+310+360+340+375+375+375+375+379.4
Buffalo-380-460-420-475-480-450-420-379.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+9-115+7½-113+7½-110+7½-115+7½-110+7½-115+7½-110+7½-104
Buffalo-9-105-7½-103-7½-110-7½-105-7½-110-7½-105-7½-103-7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+11-110+7½-110+7+105+7½-105+8-110+7½-108+7½-105+7½-104
Buffalo-11-110-7½-110-7-125-7½-115-8-110-7½-108-7½-108-7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +9-106 to +8½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -7½-110 to -7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +10-110 to +9½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -7½-110 to -7½-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50-110o49-108o49-115o48½-115o49-110o48½-115o48½-115o48½-104
Underu50-110u49-108u49-105u48½-105u49-110u48½-105u49-105u48½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o49-110o48½-110o49½-110o49½-110o49-110o48½-110o48½-104
Underu47½-110u49-110u48½-110u49½-110u49½-110u49-110u49½-110u48½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49-110 to o49-115
The Under moved from u48½-105 to u49-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49½-110 to o50-110
The Under moved from u50-110 to u49½-110