Tampa Bay at San Francisco

Updated
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
17.2%82.8%
WinSan Francisco Win
13.5Projected Points 26.8
14Final Score 27
Rank2
P/G28.6
PA/G18.8
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
Rank2
P/G28.6
PA/G18.8

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.6910.9145

Brock Purdy

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.8913.5155

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 6-20 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Will Levis • TB: Baker Mayfield-140
L 37-39 at Houston TexansTB: Baker Mayfield • HOU: C.J. Stroud+130
L 18-24 at Buffalo BillsTB: Baker Mayfield • BUF: Josh Allen+425
L 16-13 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Desmond Ridder • TB: Baker Mayfield-145
L 20-6 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • TB: Baker Mayfield+140
San Francisco 49ers
Money Line
W 34-3 at Jacksonville JaguarsSF: Brock Purdy • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-160
L 31-17 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • SF: Brock Purdy-192
L 17-22 at Minnesota VikingsSF: Brock Purdy • MIN: Kirk Cousins-320
L 17-19 at Cleveland BrownsSF: Brock Purdy • CLE: P.J. Walker-475
W 10-42 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • SF: Brock Purdy-175

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • QBBaker MayfieldProbable
  • LBDevin WhiteProbable
  • SRyan NealOut
  • OLMatt FeilerOut
  • WRMike EvansProbable
  • CBCarlton DavisProbable
  • DBJosh HayesProbable

San Francisco 49ers

Status
  • LBDemetrius Flannigan-FowlesProbable
  • DLRobert Beal Jr.Probable
  • DLDrake JacksonProbable
  • CBSamuel Womack IIIProbable
  • CBDarrell Luter Jr.Probable
  • OLNick ZakeljOut for Season
NW 8 mph
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)61°62°62°61°
Humidity55%53%53%56%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearMostly ClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindNW 8 mphNW 10 mphNW 10 mphNW 10 mph
Craig Wrolstad
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+375+570+550+585+580+585+585+609.3
San Francisco-525-745-850-805-780-805-745-609.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+360+550+620+550+625+575+625+609.3
San Francisco-480-800-800-800-950-900-800-609.3

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+10-108+14-108+13½-105+14-115+14-115+14-115+14-108+14-104
San Francisco-10-108-14-108-13½-115-14-105-14-105-14-105-13½-115-14+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+10½-110+14-110+13½-110+13½-110+13½-110+13½-110+14-110+14-104
San Francisco-10½-110-14-110-13½-110-13½-110-13½-110-13½-110-13½-110-14+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
San Francisco: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +14-108 to +13½-108
San Francisco Spread moved from -11½-108 to -12½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
San Francisco: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +14-110 to +13-110
San Francisco Spread moved from -11-110 to -12-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-108o41½-108o42½-110o41½-111o41½-110o41½-111o41½-108o41½-101
Underu42½-108u41½-108u42½-110u41½-109u41½-110u41½-109u42½-110u41½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43-110o42-110o42-110o41½-110o42-110o42-110o41½-110o41½-101
Underu43-110u42-110u42-110u41½-110u42-110u42-110u42-110u41½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-105 to o42-115
The Under moved from u42-105 to u42½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o42-110
The Under moved from u42-110 to u41½-110