Tampa Bay at Houston

Updated
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
41.3%58.7%
Tampa Bay WinHouston Win
19.1Projected Points 22.0
37Final Score 39
Rank14
P/G22.7
PA/G21.1
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
Rank14
P/G22.7
PA/G21.1

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.2710.1104

C.J. Stroud

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.3712.691

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 18-24 at Buffalo BillsTB: Baker Mayfield • BUF: Josh Allen+425
L 16-13 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Desmond Ridder • TB: Baker Mayfield-145
L 20-6 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • TB: Baker Mayfield+140
W 26-9 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Baker Mayfield • NO: Derek Carr+196
L 25-11 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Baker Mayfield+220
Houston Texans
Money Line
L 13-15 at Carolina PanthersHOU: C.J. Stroud • CAR: Bryce Young-175
W 13-20 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • HOU: C.J. Stroud+115
L 19-21 at Atlanta FalconsHOU: C.J. Stroud • ATL: Desmond Ridder+125
W 6-30 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Kenny Pickett • HOU: C.J. Stroud+140
W 37-17 at Jacksonville JaguarsHOU: C.J. Stroud • JAX: Trevor Lawrence+320

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • SChristian IzienProbable
  • SKaevon MerriweatherProbable
  • DLLogan HallOut
  • OLMatt FeilerOut
  • DTVita VeaProbable

Houston Texans

Status
  • TEBrevin JordanOut
  • RBDameon PierceOut
  • DTSheldon RankinsOut
  • TETeagan QuitorianoIR
  • SEric MurrayIR
  • CJarrett PattersonIR
  • WRRobert WoodsOut
S 4 mph
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°82°82°82°
Humidity61%57%54%54%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudy
WindS 4 mphSSE 4 mphSSE 4 mphSE 5 mph
Land Clark
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+125+130+125+130+130+130+130+138.0
Houston-145-150-145-150-150-150-145-138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+118+130+122+130+130+125+130+138.0
Houston-140-150-140-155-150-145-140-138.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+2½-108+3-118+3-120+2½+101+2½+100+2½+101+2½+101+2½+110
Houston-2½-108-3+102-3+100-2½-121-2½-120-2½-121-3+102-2½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+2½-110+2½-110+3-125+2½+100+3-119+3-120+2½+100+2½+110
Houston-2½-110-2½-110-3+105-2½-120-3-101-3+100-2½-110-2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Houston: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +2½+102 to +2½-108
Houston Spread moved from -3-110 to -3-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Houston: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
No Steam Moves On Houston Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40-108o40-108o39½-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o39½-110o40+100
Underu40-108u40-108u39½-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-108u40+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40+100
Underu40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39½-110 to o40-110
The Under moved from u40-110 to u39½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39½-110 to o40-110
The Under moved from u40-110 to u39½-110