Miami at Buffalo

Updated
Rank22
P/G20.1
PA/G21.9
9.5%90.5%
WinBuffalo Win
11.2Projected Points 33.3
11Final Score 26
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3
Rank22
P/G20.1
PA/G21.9
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3

Quarterbacks

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.54209.074

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.86287.0153

Last 5 Games

Miami Dolphins
Money Line
L 30-28 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Matt Ryan • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+112
L 20-23 vs Jacksonville JaguarsMIA: Jacoby Brissett • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-125
L 17-45 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersMIA: Jacoby Brissett • TB: Tom Brady+500
L 27-17 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Carson Wentz • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-140
L 28-31 at Las Vegas RaidersMIA: Jacoby Brissett • VEG: Derek Carr+170
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
L 31-34 at Tennessee TitansBUF: Josh Allen • TEN: Ryan Tannehill-250
W 38-20 at Kansas City ChiefsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes+130
W 0-40 vs Houston TexansHOU: Davis Mills • BUF: Josh Allen-1780
W 21-43 vs Washington Football TeamWAS: Taylor Heinicke • BUF: Josh Allen-323
W 35-0 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-182

Injuries

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • CBNoah IgbinogheneProbable
  • RBMalcolm BrownIR
  • DBJason McCourtyIR
  • WRWill Fuller VIR
  • LBJerome BakerOut
  • WRDeVante ParkerProbable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • TSpencer BrownDoubtful
  • TEDawson KnoxOut
  • DTJustin ZimmerOut
SSW 12 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Moderate on Under
 
Temp (°F)51°52°53°54°
Humidity97%93%90%87%
Precipitation22%22%17%9%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSSW 12 mphW 13 mphW 14 mphW 15 mph
Shawn Smith
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+580+725+725+660+710+660+725+764.2
Buffalo-800-1100-1300-1000-1010-1000-1000-764.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+600+850+760+750+775+750+850+764.2
Buffalo-900-1500-1060-1200-1300-1200-1060-764.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+12-110+15-110+15-110+14½-110+15-109+14½-110+15-109+15+104
Buffalo-12-110-15-110-15-110-14½-110-15-109-14½-110-14½-110-15-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+13-110+15½-110+14½-110+15-110+14½-110+14½-110+15½-110+15+104
Buffalo-13-110-15½-110-14½-110-15-110-14½-110-14½-110-14½-110-15-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +15-110 to +14½-107
Buffalo Spread moved from -14½-109 to -15-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +15-110 to +14½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -14½-110 to -15-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49-110o48½-110o48½-110o48½-112o48½-109o48½-112o48½-109o48½-106
Underu49-110u48½-110u48½-110u48½-108u48½-109u48½-108u48½-108u48½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49-110o49-110o48½-110o48½-110o48½-110o48½-110o48½-110o48½-106
Underu49-110u49-110u48½-110u48½-110u48½-110u48½-110u49-110u48½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48½-110 to o48½-112
The Under moved from u48½-105 to u48-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48-110 to o48½-110
The Under moved from u49-110 to u48½-110