Bills at Chiefs

Updated
Rank4
P/G33.8
PA/G16.3
39.0%61.0%
Bills WinChiefs Win
26.3Projected Points 29.6
38Final Score 20
Rank5
P/G30.8
PA/G29.3
Rank4
P/G33.8
PA/G16.3
Rank5
P/G30.8
PA/G29.3

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.54264.092

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
72.34304.0144

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 0-40 vs Houston TexansHOU: Davis Mills • BUF: Josh Allen-1780
W 21-43 vs Washington Football TeamWAS: Taylor Heinicke • BUF: Josh Allen-323
W 35-0 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-182
L 23-16 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • BUF: Josh Allen-260
L 24-38 at Kansas City ChiefsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes+140
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 42-30 at Philadelphia EaglesKC: Patrick Mahomes • PHI: Jalen Hurts-330
L 30-24 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Patrick Mahomes-294
L 35-36 at Baltimore RavensKC: Patrick Mahomes • BAL: Lamar Jackson-185
W 29-33 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Baker Mayfield • KC: Patrick Mahomes-235
L 9-31 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersKC: Patrick Mahomes • TB: Tom Brady-155

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • DEGregory RousseauProbable
  • DEEfe ObadaProbable
  • GJon FelicianoProbable
  • CBTaron JohnsonProbable
  • SJordan PoyerProbable
  • RBTaiwan JonesProbable
  • LBMatt MilanoOut
  • DEA.J. EpenesaProbable

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • DEFrank ClarkProbable
  • LBWillie Gay Jr.Questionable
  • DEJoshua KaindohIR
  • DBCharvarius WardQuestionable
  • DLChris JonesOut
  • CBRashad FentonProbable
  • WRJosh GordonProbable
NNW 7 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)71°68°64°62°
Humidity71%77%85%88%
Precipitation49%60%68%75%
ConditionRainRainRainRain
WindNNW 7 mphNNW 7 mphN 9 mphN 9 mph
Carl Cheffers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bills+135+130+120+120+125+120+130+128.5
Chiefs-155-150-140-140-145-140-140-128.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bills+135+120+120+130+120+130+130+128.5
Chiefs-155-140-138-150-140-150-138-128.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bills+4-110+3-120+3-120+2½-104+3-119+2½-104+3-119+2½+105
Chiefs-4-110-3+100-3+100-2½-116-3+101-2½-116-2½-116-2½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bills+3-110+2½-110+2½-110+3-120+3-119+3-120+3-119+2½+105
Chiefs-3-110-2½-110-2½-110-3+100-3-101-3+100-2½-110-2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bills: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chiefs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bills: 0.0%
Chiefs: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Bills: 0.0%
Chiefs: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bills: 20.0%
Chiefs: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bills Spread moved from +3-115 to +2½-101
Chiefs Spread moved from -2½-119 to -3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bills: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chiefs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bills: 0.0%
Chiefs: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Bills: 0.0%
Chiefs: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bills: 20.0%
Chiefs: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bills Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
Chiefs Spread moved from -2½-115 to -2½-125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo56½-110o57-110o57½-105o57-114o57-109o57-114o57-109o57-104
Underu56½-110u57-110u57½-115u57-106u57-109u57-106u57-106u57+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo57-110o57½-110o57-110o57-110o57-110o57-110o57-110o57-104
Underu57-110u57½-110u57-110u57-110u57-110u57-110u57½-110u57+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o57-110 to o57-114
The Under moved from u56-105 to u56½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o56½-110 to o57-110
The Under moved from u57½-110 to u57-110