Buffalo at Miami

Updated
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3
58.2%41.8%
Buffalo WinMiami Win
25.7Projected Points 22.8
35Final Score 0
Rank22
P/G20.1
PA/G21.9
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3
Rank22
P/G20.1
PA/G21.9

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
58.81270.010

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
59.31202.011

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
L 23-16 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • BUF: Josh Allen-260
L 24-38 at Kansas City ChiefsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes+140
W 3-17 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • BUF: Josh Allen-135
W 24-27 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Philip Rivers • BUF: Josh Allen-320
W 26-56 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen+160
Miami Dolphins
Money Line
W 17-16 at New England PatriotsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NE: Mac Jones+170
L 26-56 at Buffalo BillsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen-165
W 26-25 at Las Vegas RaidersMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • VEG: Derek Carr-133
W 12-22 vs New England PatriotsNE: Cam Newton • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+105
L 33-27 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+300

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • DTHarrison PhillipsOut
  • WRGabriel DavisProbable
  • WRIsaiah McKenzieProbable
  • DEBryan Cox Jr.IR
  • WRMarquez StevensonIR
  • DTStar LotuleleiProbable
  • DEEfe ObadaOut

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • LBVince BiegelIR
  • WRWill Fuller VOut
  • LBRaekwon DavisIR
  • CBJaytlin AskewIR
  • WRPreston WilliamsProbable
  • TEAdam ShaheenProbable
  • TLarnel ColemanIR
  • WRAllen HurnsIR
  • WRLynn Bowden Jr.IR
E 6 mph
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)89°90°89°88°
Humidity64%62%64%66%
Precipitation5%10%9%15%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindE 6 mphE 7 mphESE 7 mphE 8 mph
Craig Wrolstad
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-180-190-185-190-190-190-185-167.5
Miami+160+165+160+165+165+165+165+167.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-180-190-182-200-190-190-182-167.5
Miami+160+170+162+175+170+170+175+167.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-3-110-3½-110-3½-110-3½+100-3½-109-3½+100-3½+100-3½+108
Miami+3-110+3½-110+3½-110+3½-120+3½-109+3½-120+3½-109+3½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-3-110-3½-110-3½-110-4-110-3½-105-3½-110-3½-105-3½+108
Miami+3-110+3½-110+3½-110+4-110+3½-115+3½-110+4-110+3½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Miami: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 20.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 20.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -3-114 to -3-124
Miami Spread moved from +3½-105 to +3½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Miami: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 20.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -3½+100 to -3½-110
Miami Spread moved from +3+105 to +3-105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48½-110o48-110o48-110o47½-110o47½-109o47½-110o47½-109o48-103
Underu48½-110u48-110u48-110u47½-110u47½-109u47½-110u48-110u48+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o47½-110o48-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o48-103
Underu47½-110u47½-110u48-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u48-110u48+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-110 to o47½-110
The Under moved from u48-110 to u47-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-110 to o48-110
The Under moved from u48-110 to u47½-110