Patriots at Texans

Updated
54.0%
Projected Points: 25.5
Final Score: 20

Cam Newton

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.88192.037
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 17-23 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • NE: Cam Newton+272
W 30-27 at New York JetsNE: Cam Newton • NYJ: Sam Darnold-385
L 21-24 at Buffalo BillsNE: Cam Newton • BUF: Josh Allen+190
L 33-6 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Jimmy Garoppolo • NE: Cam Newton-155
L 18-12 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Drew Lock • NE: Cam Newton-325

Injuries

Status
  • WRJulian EdelmanOut
  • RBSony MichelOut
  • LBJa'Whaun BentleyProbable
  • GJustin HerronIR
  • WRMatthew SlaterProbable
  • TEDalton KeeneIR
  • WRN'Keal HarryProbable
  • RBJ.J. TaylorOut
  • LBBrandon CopelandOut for Season
  • TEDevin AsiasiIR
  • DLAdam ButlerOut
  • CBStephon GilmoreProbable
46.0%
Projected Points: 23.7
Final Score: 27

Deshaun Watson

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.19282.0185
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 7-10 at Cleveland BrownsHOU: Deshaun Watson • CLE: Baker Mayfield+210
W 27-25 at Jacksonville JaguarsHOU: Deshaun Watson • JAX: Jake Luton-290
L 35-20 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Aaron Rodgers • HOU: Deshaun Watson+130
L 36-42 at Tennessee TitansHOU: Deshaun Watson • TEN: Ryan Tannehill+175
W 14-30 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Gardner Minshew II • HOU: Deshaun Watson-280

Injuries

Status
  • PBryan AngerProbable
  • GSenio KelemeteOut
  • RBDavid JohnsonIR
  • RBDuke Johnson Jr.Probable
  • LBJacob MartinProbable
  • DECharles OmenihuProbable
  • LBKyle EmanuelIR
  • LBBrennan ScarlettIR
  • LBDavin BellamyOut
  • WRKenny StillsProbable
  • FBCullen GillaspiaOut
  • TLaremy TunsilOut
  • SMichael ThomasOut for Season
NNE 2 mph
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)76°79°79°80°
Humidity56%50%47%47%
Precipitation1%1%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyClear
WindNNE 2 mphNNE 3 mphNNE 5 mphNNE 6 mph
John Hussey
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Patriots+135-140-150-150-145-150-140
Texans-155+120+130+130+125+130+130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Patriots-124-150-155-140-145-145-140
Texans+106+130+136+120+125+125+136

Spread Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Patriots+3-115-2½-115-2½-120-2½-125-2½-114-2½-125-2½-114
Texans-3-105+2½-105+2½+100+2½+105+2½-104+2½+105+2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Patriots+3-110-2½-110-2½-120-2-110-2½-110-2½-120-2½-110
Texans-3-110+2½-110+2½+100+2-110+2½-110+2½+100+2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Patriots: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Texans: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Patriots: 0.0%
Texans: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Patriots: 0.0%
Texans: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Patriots: 0.0%
Texans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Patriots Spread moved from -2½-117 to -2½-125
Texans Spread moved from +2-105 to +2½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Patriots: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Texans: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Patriots: 0.0%
Texans: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Patriots: 0.0%
Texans: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Patriots: 10.0%
Texans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Patriots Spread moved from -2½-110 to -2½-120
Texans Spread moved from +2½-110 to +1½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo47-110o49½-110o49-115o49-117o49½-109o49-117o49½-109
Underu47-110u49½-110u49-105u49-103u49½-109u49-103u49-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo47-110o49½-110o49½-110o49-110o49½-110o49½-110o49-110
Underu47-110u49½-110u49½-110u49-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49-109 to o49½-109
The Under moved from u48½-110 to u48½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49-110 to o49½-110
The Under moved from u49½-110 to u49-110