Cincinnati at New England

Updated
Rank6
P/G13.5
PA/G25.5
62.9%37.1%
Cincinnati WinNew England Win
23.5Projected Points 20.0
22Final Score 18
Rank22
P/G18.5
PA/G24.5
Rank6
P/G13.5
PA/G25.5
Rank22
P/G18.5
PA/G24.5

Quarterbacks

Joe Burrow

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.214278.03110

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.811210.078

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Bengals
Money Line
W 34-23 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersCIN: Joe Burrow • TB: Tom Brady-165
W 10-23 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Deshaun Watson • CIN: Joe Burrow-200
W 24-27 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • CIN: Joe Burrow+128
W 20-16 at Tennessee TitansCIN: Joe Burrow • TEN: Ryan Tannehill-105
W 37-30 at Pittsburgh SteelersCIN: Joe Burrow • PIT: Kenny Pickett-175
New England Patriots
Money Line
L 24-30 at Las Vegas RaidersNE: Mac Jones • VEG: Derek Carr+125
W 27-13 at Arizona CardinalsNE: Mac Jones • ARI: Kyler Murray-130
L 24-10 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones+180
L 26-33 at Minnesota VikingsNE: Mac Jones • MIN: Kirk Cousins+130
W 3-10 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • NE: Mac Jones-170

Injuries

Cincinnati Bengals

Status
  • TEHayden HurstOut
  • DETrey HendricksonOut
  • DBMike HiltonProbable
  • DESam HubbardOut
  • CBCam Taylor-BrittProbable

New England Patriots

Status
  • OLIsaiah WynnIR
  • RBRhamondre StevensonProbable
  • RBDamien HarrisOut
  • WRTy MontgomeryOut for Season
  • DBJack JonesOut
  • WRTyquan ThorntonProbable
  • CBJalen MillsOut
  • DBCody DavisOut for Season
  • LSJoe CardonaOut for Season
  • WRDeVante ParkerOut
  • DBJonathan JonesProbable
SW 11 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)17°18°18°17°
Humidity45%43%45%48%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSW 11 mphWSW 12 mphWSW 13 mphWSW 12 mph
Craig Wrolstad
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati-150-155-165-158-155-158-155-142.8
New England+130+135+140+138+135+138+140+142.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati-165-155-160-160-160-155-155-142.8
New England+145+135+141+140+140+135+141+142.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati-3+100-3-108-3-105-3-105-3-105-3-105-3-105-3+104
New England+3-120+3-108+3-115+3-115+3-115+3-115+3-108+3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati-3-110-3-110-3-105-3-110-3-110-3-110-3-105-3+104
New England+3-110+3-110+3-115+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cincinnati: 20.0%
New England: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cincinnati: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cincinnati: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cincinnati Spread moved from -3-110 to -3-120
No Steam Moves On New England Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cincinnati: 20.0%
New England: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cincinnati: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cincinnati: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cincinnati Spread moved from -3-110 to -3-120
New England Spread moved from +3-105 to +3-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-110o41½-108o41½-110o41½-111o42-110o41½-111o41½-108o42+100
Underu42½-110u41½-108u41½-110u41½-109u42-110u41½-109u42-110u42+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo39-110o41½-110o42-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o42+100
Underu39-110u41½-110u42-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u42-110u42+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o42-110
The Under moved from u42-110 to u41½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o42-110
The Under moved from u41½-110 to u41-110