New England at Las Vegas

Updated
Rank31
P/G13.0
PA/G21.8
40.4%59.6%
New England WinLas Vegas Win
20.3Projected Points 23.4
17Final Score 21
Rank24
P/G19.5
PA/G24.2
Rank31
P/G13.0
PA/G21.8
Rank24
P/G19.5
PA/G24.2

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.559.656

Jimmy Garoppolo

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.8410.767

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 34-0 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • NE: Mac Jones-128
L 3-38 at Dallas CowboysNE: Mac Jones • DAL: Dak Prescott+230
W 15-10 at New York JetsNE: Mac Jones • NYJ: Zach Wilson-135
L 24-17 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NE: Mac Jones+115
L 25-20 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • NE: Mac Jones+170
Las Vegas Raiders
Money Line
W 13-17 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Jordan Love • VEG: Jimmy Garoppolo-125
L 17-24 at Los Angeles ChargersVEG: Aidan O'Connell • LAC: Justin Herbert+240
L 23-18 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Kenny Pickett • VEG: Jimmy Garoppolo-155
L 10-38 at Buffalo BillsVEG: Jimmy Garoppolo • BUF: Josh Allen+300
W 17-16 at Denver BroncosVEG: Jimmy Garoppolo • DEN: Russell Wilson+141

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • OLTrent BrownProbable
  • OLMichael OnwenuProbable
  • DBJonathan JonesProbable
  • DTChristian BarmoreProbable
  • GCole StrangeOut
  • DBMarcus JonesIR
  • CBShaun WadeProbable
  • LBJosh UcheProbable
  • OLRiley ReiffOut
  • DBKyle DuggerProbable
  • CBChristian GonzalezOut for Season
  • LBMatt JudonIR
  • DBCody DavisOut
  • WRDemario DouglasOut
  • DETrey FlowersProbable
  • WRTyquan ThorntonProbable
  • WRJuJu Smith-SchusterOut
  • LBJa'Whaun BentleyProbable
  • DTDaniel EkualeIR
  • DTDavon GodchauxProbable

Las Vegas Raiders

Status
  • CBJakorian BennettProbable
  • CBNate HobbsOut
  • DEChandler JonesOut
  • TJustin HerronOut
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Brad Rogers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Over Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+130+130+130+132+130+132+132+139.9
Las Vegas-150-150-150-152-150-152-150-139.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+115+135+131+130+135+130+135+139.9
Las Vegas-135-155-150-155-155-150-150-139.9

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+1½-108+3-108+3-120+3-123+3-120+3-123+3-108+3-112
Las Vegas-1½-108-3-108-3+100-3+103-3+100-3+103-3+103-3+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+0-110+3-110+3-115+3-115+3-105+3-120+3-105+3-112
Las Vegas+0-110-3-110-3-105-3-105-3-115-3+100-3+100-3+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 10.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +1-105 to +1-110
Las Vegas Spread moved from -3-115 to -3½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Vegas: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 10.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
Las Vegas Spread moved from -3-110 to -3½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-108o42½-108o42-105o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½+100
Underu42½-108u42½-108u42-115u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u42½-108u41½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½+100
Underu42½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o42-105
The Under moved from u41½-105 to u41½-110

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41-110 to o42-110
The Under moved from u41½-110 to u41-110