New Orleans at New England

Updated

New Orleans Saints

(9-8)
Rank16
P/G23.6
PA/G19.2
42.5%57.5%
New Orleans WinNew England Win
18.3Projected Points 21.0
34Final Score 0

New England Patriots

(4-13)
Rank29
P/G13.9
PA/G21.5
Rank16
P/G23.6
PA/G19.2
Rank29
P/G13.9
PA/G21.5

Quarterbacks

Derek Carr

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.549.522

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.749.754

Last 5 Games

New Orleans Saints
Money Line
L 26-9 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • NO: Derek Carr-215
L 17-18 at Green Bay PackersNO: Derek Carr • GB: Jordan Love-120
W 20-17 at Carolina PanthersNO: Derek Carr • CAR: Bryce Young-165
W 15-16 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • NO: Derek Carr-150
L 10-7 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Sam Darnold • NO: Andy Dalton-180
New England Patriots
Money Line
L 3-38 at Dallas CowboysNE: Mac Jones • DAL: Dak Prescott+230
W 15-10 at New York JetsNE: Mac Jones • NYJ: Zach Wilson-135
L 24-17 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NE: Mac Jones+115
L 25-20 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • NE: Mac Jones+170
L 23-35 at Buffalo BillsNE: Mac Jones • BUF: Josh Allen+340

Injuries

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • TAndrus PeatOut
  • CBPaulson AdeboProbable
  • RBJamaal WilliamsIR
  • SMarcus MayeOut
  • WRJuwan JohnsonOut
  • DEPayton TurnerOut
  • DBJordan HowdenProbable
  • CCesar RuizProbable
  • CBLonnie Johnson Jr.Out
  • TJames HurstProbable
  • QBDerek CarrProbable
  • TLandon YoungOut

New England Patriots

Status
  • DBMarcus JonesIR
  • OLRiley ReiffProbable
  • DBJonathan JonesProbable
  • RBRhamondre StevensonProbable
  • GCole StrangeOut
  • DTDavon GodchauxProbable
  • DBJack JonesIR
  • LBMatt JudonOut
  • DTDaniel EkualeIR
  • DBCody DavisProbable
  • CBShaun WadeProbable
  • OLTrent BrownProbable
  • DBJ.C. JacksonProbable
  • DETrey FlowersProbable
  • DTChristian BarmoreProbable
  • CBChristian GonzalezOut for Season
WSW 11 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)61°62°62°62°
Humidity58%56%54%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWSW 11 mphWSW 11 mphWSW 11 mphWSW 10 mph
Alex Kemp
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans+110+110+110+110+115+110+115+118.7
New England-130-130-130-130-135-130-130-118.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans+105+115+110+110+115+115+115+118.7
New England-125-135-128-130-135-135-128-118.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans+1½-108+2-108+2-110+2-108+2-110+2-108+2-108+2+102
New England-1½-108-2-108-2-110-2-112-2-110-2-112-2-108-2-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans+2½-110+1½-110+1½-110+2+100+2-110+2½-110+2+100+2+102
New England-2½-110-1½-110-1½-110-2-120-2-110-2½-110-1½-110-2-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New Orleans: 0.0%
New England: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New Orleans: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New Orleans: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New Orleans: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New Orleans Spread moved from +1½-110 to +1½-115
New England Spread moved from +1-110 to +0-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New Orleans: 0.0%
New England: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New Orleans: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New Orleans: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New Orleans: 20.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New Orleans Spread moved from +1-110 to +0-110
No Steam Moves On New England Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40½-108o39-108o39-110o38½-115o38½-110o38½-115o38½-110o38½-104
Underu40½-108u39-108u39-110u38½-105u38½-110u38½-105u39-108u38½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40½-110o38½-110o39-110o38½-110o39-110o38½-110o38½-110o38½-104
Underu40½-110u38½-110u39-110u38½-110u39-110u38½-110u39-110u38½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o38½-115 to o39-110
The Under moved from u39-110 to u38½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o38½-110 to o39-110
The Under moved from u39-110 to u38½-110
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