New England at Miami

Updated
Rank10
P/G26.6
PA/G19.4
67.5%32.5%
New England WinMiami Win
23.2Projected Points 18.2
24Final Score 33
Rank22
P/G20.1
PA/G21.9
Rank10
P/G26.6
PA/G19.4
Rank22
P/G20.1
PA/G21.9

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.215221.01812

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.110213.0159

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 10-50 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • NE: Mac Jones-1400
L 33-21 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones-110
L 17-27 at Indianapolis ColtsNE: Mac Jones • IND: Carson Wentz+105
W 14-10 at Buffalo BillsNE: Mac Jones • BUF: Josh Allen+130
W 13-36 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • NE: Mac Jones-300
Miami Dolphins
Money Line
L 3-34 at Tennessee TitansMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • TEN: Ryan Tannehill+150
W 20-3 at New Orleans SaintsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NO: Taysom Hill-160
W 24-31 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-450
W 9-20 vs New York GiantsNYG: Mike Glennon • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-300
W 10-33 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Cam Newton • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+106

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • DBAdrian PhillipsProbable
  • DERonnie PerkinsIR
  • DBCody DavisQuestionable
  • OLYodny CajusteQuestionable
  • OLIsaiah WynnProbable
  • DBKyle DuggerOut
  • SJoshuah BledsoeIR
  • RBDamien HarrisQuestionable
  • LBDont'a HightowerOut
  • DTChristian BarmoreQuestionable
  • LBCameron McGroneOut for Season
  • WRNelson AgholorProbable
  • CDavid AndrewsQuestionable
  • WRJakobi MeyersProbable
  • KNick FolkProbable

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • WRPreston WilliamsProbable
  • RBPatrick LairdIR
  • DTJohn JenkinsProbable
E 13 mph
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)77°76°76°76°
Humidity75%78%80%80%
Precipitation14%12%11%10%
ConditionOvercastMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindE 13 mphE 12 mphE 11 mphE 10 mph
Alex Kemp
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-250-240-270-255-265-255-240-231.1
Miami+210+200+220+215+225+215+225+231.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-245-230-245-260-260-260-230-231.1
Miami+205+195+213+220+220+220+220+231.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-3+100-5½-110-6-110-5½-111-6-109-5½-111-5½-110-6+102
Miami+3-120+5½-110+6-110+5½-109+6-109+5½-109+6-109+6-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-6½-110-6-110-5½-110-6-110-6-110-6-110-5½-110-6+102
Miami+6½-110+6-110+5½-110+6-110+6-110+6-110+6-110+6-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from -6-105 to -6-115
Miami Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from -5½-110 to -6-110
Miami Spread moved from +6-110 to +5½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo39½-110o41-110o41-110o41-113o41-109o41-113o41-109o41-111
Underu39½-110u41-110u41-110u41-107u41-109u41-107u41-107u41+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo39½-110o41-110o41-115o41-110o40½-110o41-110o40½-110o41-111
Underu39½-110u41-110u41-105u41-110u40½-110u41-110u41-105u41+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40½-110 to o41-110
The Under moved from u40-109 to u40-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40½-110 to o41-110
The Under moved from u40-110 to u39½-110