New England at Buffalo

Updated
Rank10
P/G26.6
PA/G19.4
37.1%62.9%
New England WinBuffalo Win
16.9Projected Points 20.4
14Final Score 10
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3
Rank10
P/G26.6
PA/G19.4
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.312238.0168

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.811279.02510

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 13-36 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • NE: Mac Jones-300
W 25-0 at Atlanta FalconsNE: Mac Jones • ATL: Matt Ryan-310
W 7-45 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Baker Mayfield • NE: Mac Jones-135
W 24-6 at Carolina PanthersNE: Mac Jones • CAR: Sam Darnold-175
W 27-24 at Los Angeles ChargersNE: Mac Jones • LAC: Justin Herbert+172
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 31-6 at New Orleans SaintsBUF: Josh Allen • NO: Trevor Siemian-270
L 41-15 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Carson Wentz • BUF: Josh Allen-290
W 45-17 at New York JetsBUF: Josh Allen • NYJ: Mike White-745
L 6-9 at Jacksonville JaguarsBUF: Josh Allen • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-1200
W 11-26 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen-1060

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • DERonnie PerkinsOut
  • DTChristian BarmoreProbable
  • RBBrandon BoldenProbable
  • LBJamie CollinsProbable
  • OLTrent BrownProbable
  • CDavid AndrewsProbable
  • LBJa'Whaun BentleyProbable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • LBA.J. KleinOut
  • FBReggie GilliamOut
  • CBTre'Davious WhiteOut for Season
SW 28 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Very High on Under
 
Temp (°F)34°33°32°32°
Humidity67%70%71%72%
Precipitation8%4%4%4%
ConditionWindy and Mostly CloudyWindy and Mostly CloudyWindy and Mostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSW 28 mphNW 27 mphW 25 mphW 23 mph
Bill Vinovich
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+155+130+125+125+130+125+130+136.7
Buffalo-175-150-145-145-150-145-145-136.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+140+125+126+125+125+130+130+136.7
Buffalo-160-145-144-145-145-150-144-136.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+3½-110+3-120+3-115+3-115+3-119+3-115+3-115+3-111
Buffalo-3½-110-3+100-3-105-3-105-3+101-3-105-3+101-3+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+3+100+3-110+2½+100+3-115+3-119+3-120+3-110+3-111
Buffalo-3-120-3-110-2½-120-3-105-3-101-3+100-2½-120-3+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +3-114 to +2½+101
Buffalo Spread moved from -2½-117 to -2½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -2½-115 to -3-101

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46-110o39½-110o40-105o40-115o39½-109o40-115o39½-109o40-103
Underu46-110u39½-110u40-115u40-105u39½-109u40-105u40-105u40+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o39½-110o40-110o39½-110o40-103
Underu46-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u39½-110u40-110u40-110u40+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39½-109 to o40-109
The Under moved from u40-109 to u39½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39½-110 to o40-110
The Under moved from u40½-110 to u40-110