Buffalo at New England

Updated
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3
48.6%51.4%
Buffalo WinNew England Win
22.8Projected Points 23.3
33Final Score 21
Rank10
P/G26.6
PA/G19.4
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3
Rank10
P/G26.6
PA/G19.4

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.214267.03112

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.014226.01810

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 14-31 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Cam Newton • BUF: Josh Allen-850
L 27-33 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersBUF: Josh Allen • TB: Tom Brady+160
L 14-10 vs New England PatriotsNE: Mac Jones • BUF: Josh Allen-144
W 31-6 at New Orleans SaintsBUF: Josh Allen • NO: Trevor Siemian-270
L 41-15 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Carson Wentz • BUF: Josh Allen-290
New England Patriots
Money Line
L 17-27 at Indianapolis ColtsNE: Mac Jones • IND: Carson Wentz+105
W 14-10 at Buffalo BillsNE: Mac Jones • BUF: Josh Allen+130
W 13-36 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • NE: Mac Jones-300
W 25-0 at Atlanta FalconsNE: Mac Jones • ATL: Matt Ryan-310
W 7-45 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Baker Mayfield • NE: Mac Jones-135

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • DEA.J. EpenesaOut
  • GJon FelicianoOut
  • LBA.J. KleinOut
  • WREmmanuel SandersProbable
  • WRCole BeasleyOut
  • RBTaiwan JonesProbable
  • TCody FordOut
  • WRGabriel DavisOut
  • DTStar LotuleleiOut
  • CBTre'Davious WhiteOut for Season

New England Patriots

Status
  • RBRhamondre StevensonOut
  • DERonnie PerkinsIR
  • RBDamien HarrisProbable
  • OLYodny CajusteProbable
  • WRKendrick BourneProbable
  • WRNelson AgholorOut
  • WRN'Keal HarryProbable
  • LBCameron McGroneOut for Season
NW 10 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)39°39°38°36°
Humidity79%79%80%80%
Precipitation8%7%7%7%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNW 10 mphNW 10 mphNW 9 mphNW 8 mph
Shawn Smith
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-110-110--104-105-104-104+105.2
New England-110-110--116-115-116-110-105.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-100-110--105-110-105-105+105.2
New England-120-110--115-110-115-110-105.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+2-110+0-110+0-110+1-110+1-109+1-110+1-109+1-102
New England-2-110+0-110+0-110-1-110-1-109-1-110+0-110-1+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+0-110+0-110+0-110+1-110+0-110+1-110+1-110+1-102
New England+0-110+0-110+0-110-1-110+0-110-1-110+0-110-1+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +0-102 to +0-110
New England Spread moved from +0-110 to +0-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +1½-110 to +0-110
New England Spread moved from -1½-110 to -2½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o43½-110o43-115o43½-113o43½-109o43½-113o43-115o43½-100
Underu43½-110u43½-110u43-105u43½-107u43½-109u43½-107u43½-107u43½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44-110o43½-110o43½-110o43½-110o43½-110o43½-110o43½-110o43½-100
Underu44-110u43½-110u43½-110u43½-110u43½-110u43½-110u43½-110u43½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43½-104 to o43½-115
The Under moved from u43½-110 to u43½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u44-110 to u43½-110