Cincinnati at Kansas City

Updated
Rank19
P/G28.0
PA/G29.0
32.6%67.4%
Cincinnati WinKansas City Win
19.1Projected Points 23.9
17Final Score 25
Rank1
P/G23.6
PA/G17.0
Rank19
P/G28.0
PA/G29.0
Rank1
P/G23.6
PA/G17.0

Quarterbacks

Jake Browning

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
73.6411.873

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.41410.52513

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Bengals
Money Line
L 11-34 at Pittsburgh SteelersCIN: Jake Browning • PIT: Kenny Pickett-145
W 24-27 vs Minnesota VikingsMIN: Nick Mullens • CIN: Jake Browning-165
W 14-34 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Gardner Minshew II • CIN: Jake Browning-150
W 34-31 at Jacksonville JaguarsCIN: Jake Browning • JAX: Trevor Lawrence+450
L 16-10 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Kenny Pickett • CIN: Jake Browning+118
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
L 20-14 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Aidan O'Connell • KC: Patrick Mahomes-575
W 27-17 at New England PatriotsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NE: Bailey Zappe-475
L 20-17 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes-122
L 19-27 at Green Bay PackersKC: Patrick Mahomes • GB: Jordan Love-250
W 31-17 at Las Vegas RaidersKC: Patrick Mahomes • VEG: Aidan O'Connell-440

Injuries

Cincinnati Bengals

Status
  • CBCam Taylor-BrittProbable
  • WRJa'Marr ChaseProbable
  • CBDJ IveyOut for Season
  • DTD.J. ReaderOut for Season
  • CBJalen DavisOut

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • DBL'Jarius SneedProbable
  • RBIsiah PachecoProbable
  • RBClyde Edwards-HelaireOut
  • RBJerick McKinnonIR
  • WRSkyy MooreIR
  • WRKadarius ToneyOut
  • WRMecole Hardman Jr.Probable
  • -Donovan SmithOut
NNW 10 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)37°36°34°33°
Humidity62%63%66%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNNW 10 mphNNW 9 mphNNW 8 mphNNW 8 mph
John Hussey
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati+290+305+270+283+257+283+305+295.6
Kansas City-360-385-340-338-335-338-335-295.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati+235+280+295+275+280+300+300+295.6
Kansas City-292-340-347-350-340-400-340-295.6

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati+6½-108+7-103+7-105+7-102+7+100+7-102+7+100+7+107
Kansas City-6½-108-7-113-7-115-7-118-7-120-7-118-7-113-7-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati+7½-110+7-110+7-102+7-110+7-110+7+100+7+100+7+107
Kansas City-7½-110-7-110-7-118-7-110-7-110-7-120-7-110-7-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cincinnati: 40.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cincinnati: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cincinnati: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cincinnati Spread moved from +7-115 to +6½-110
Kansas City Spread moved from -7-110 to -8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cincinnati: 40.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cincinnati: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cincinnati: 0.0%
Kansas City: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cincinnati Spread moved from +6½+100 to +6½-110
Kansas City Spread moved from -7-110 to -7-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-108o45½-108o45-110o45½-110o45½-110o45½-110o45½-108o45½+100
Underu45½-108u45½-108u45-110u45½-110u45½-110u45½-110u45½-108u45½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-110o46-110o45½-110o45½-110o46-110o45½-110o45½-110o45½+100
Underu44½-110u46-110u45½-110u45½-110u46-110u45½-110u46-110u45½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-115 to o45-110
The Under moved from u46-110 to u45½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45½-110 to o46-110
The Under moved from u46-110 to u45½-110