Houston at Jacksonville

Updated

Houston Texans

(11-8)
Rank14
P/G22.7
PA/G21.1
16.5%83.5%
WinJacksonville Win
15.2Projected Points 28.8
37Final Score 17

Jacksonville Jaguars

(9-8)
Rank13
P/G22.2
PA/G21.8
Rank14
P/G22.7
PA/G21.1
Rank13
P/G22.2
PA/G21.8

Quarterbacks

C.J. Stroud

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.7210.820

Trevor Lawrence

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.029.921

Last 5 Games

Houston Texans
Money Line
L 31-20 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Anthony Richardson • HOU: C.J. Stroud-110
L 9-25 at Baltimore RavensHOU: C.J. Stroud • BAL: Lamar Jackson+375
W 32-31 at Indianapolis ColtsHOU: Davis Mills • IND: Sam Ehlinger+130
L 31-3 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • HOU: Davis Mills+170
W 19-14 at Tennessee TitansHOU: Kyle Allen • TEN: Malik Willis+160
Jacksonville Jaguars
Money Line
L 17-9 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • JAX: Trevor Lawrence+152
W 31-21 at Indianapolis ColtsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • IND: Anthony Richardson-180
L 20-27 at Kansas City ChiefsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • KC: Patrick Mahomes+435
W 30-31 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • JAX: Trevor Lawrence+120
W 16-20 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Joshua Dobbs • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-250

Injuries

Houston Texans

Status
  • DBJalen PitreOut
  • DBTavierre ThomasOut
  • LBNeville HewittProbable
  • LBDenzel PerrymanOut
  • TLaremy TunsilOut
  • TTytus HowardIR
  • DBDerek Stingley Jr.IR
  • WRNoah BrownIR
  • DTHassan RidgewayIR
  • SEric MurrayProbable
  • SJimmie WardProbable

Jacksonville Jaguars

Status
  • DEJosh AllenProbable
  • CBGregory JuniorIR
  • RBTravis Etienne Jr.Probable
  • WRZay JonesOut
  • SAndrew WingardProbable
  • SAntonio JohnsonOut
  • DBChris ClaybrooksOut
  • DTFolorunso FatukasiProbable
SW 5 mph
EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°88°89°89°
Humidity45%42%39%38%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindSW 5 mphSSW 6 mphSSW 5 mphSSW 5 mph
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+340+284+285+295+285+295+295+310.1
Jacksonville-460-370-370-365-365-365-365-310.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+380+320+309+285+305+300+320+310.1
Jacksonville-475-380-365-365-365-400-365-310.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+7½-108+7½-113+7+100+7½-120+7-105+7½-120+7½-113+7½-109
Jacksonville-7½-108-7½-103-7-120-7½+100-7-115-7½+100-7½+100-7½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+7½-110+7½-110+7½-120+7½-110+7½-119+7½-120+7½-110+7½-109
Jacksonville-7½-110-7½-110-7½+100-7½-110-7½-101-7½+100-7½+100-7½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Jacksonville: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 0.0%
Jacksonville: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 20.0%
Jacksonville: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Houston: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 0.0%
Jacksonville: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from +9½-108 to +8½-108
Jacksonville Spread moved from -7½+100 to -7-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Jacksonville: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 0.0%
Jacksonville: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 20.0%
Jacksonville: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Houston: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 0.0%
Jacksonville: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from +9½-110 to +8½-110
Jacksonville Spread moved from -7½-110 to -7½-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46-108o43½-108o43½-110o44-105o44-110o44-105o43½-108o44+104
Underu46-108u43½-108u43½-110u44-115u44-110u44-115u44-110u44-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43-110o43½-110o43½-110o43½-110o44-110o43½-110o43½-110o44+104
Underu43-110u43½-110u43½-110u43½-110u44-110u43½-110u44-110u44-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43½-105 to o43½-110
The Under moved from u44-110 to u44-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43-110 to o43½-110
The Under moved from u44-110 to u43½-110
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