Atlanta at Minnesota

Updated

Atlanta Falcons

(4-8)
Rank23
P/G20.2
PA/G23.0
39.7%60.3%
Atlanta WinMinnesota Win
21.8Projected Points 25.0
22Final Score 6

Minnesota Vikings

(4-8)
Rank21
P/G18.7
PA/G23.4
Rank23
P/G20.2
PA/G23.0
Rank21
P/G18.7
PA/G23.4

Quarterbacks

Michael Penix

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.31298.010

J.J. McCarthy

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.01143.021

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
L 23-20 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • ATL: Michael Penix-105
L 44-38 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • ATL: Michael Penix-380
L 24-30 at Washington CommandersATL: Michael Penix • WAS: Jayden Daniels+180
W 7-34 vs New York GiantsNYG: Drew Lock • ATL: Michael Penix Jr.-450
W 15-9 at Las Vegas RaidersATL: Kirk Cousins • VEG: Desmond Ridder-270
Minnesota Vikings
Money Line
W 27-24 at Chicago BearsMIN: J.J. McCarthy • CHI: Caleb Williams+100
L 9-27 vs Los Angeles RamsMIN: Sam Darnold • LAR: Matthew Stafford-130
L 9-31 at Detroit LionsMIN: Sam Darnold • DET: Jared Goff+145
W 25-27 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Jordan Love • MIN: Sam Darnold-105
W 27-24 at Seattle SeahawksMIN: Sam Darnold • SEA: Geno Smith-135

Injuries

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • WRCasey WashingtonOut
  • QBEmory JonesOut for Season
  • LBMalik VerdonIR
  • KYounghoe KooOut
  • -Jack NelsonOut
  • WRDrake LondonProbable
  • -Tyrone Wheatley Jr.Out for Season
  • LBJames Pearce Jr.Probable
  • SJordan FullerOut
  • WRDarnell MooneyProbable
  • SDeMarcco HellamsProbable
  • WRJamal AgnewOut
  • LBTroy AndersenIR
  • DBBilly Bowman Jr.Probable
  • DLTa'quon GrahamIR
  • TKaleb McGaryOut for Season
  • LBBralen TriceIR
  • -Storm NortonIR

Minnesota Vikings

Status
  • DLElijah WilliamsProbable
  • TEGavin BartholomewIR
  • RBC.J. HamIR
  • LBAndrew Van GinkelOut
  • CRyan KellyProbable
  • CBJeff OkudahOut
  • TChristian DarrisawOut
  • LBBlake CashmanIR
  • SHarrison SmithOut
  • RBZavier ScottProbable
  • OLZeke CorrellOut for Season
  • WRRondale MooreOut for Season
  • RBTy ChandlerIR
  • DETyler BattyIR
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
TBD
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+190+145+145+145+145+149+149+156.8
Minnesota-230-165-170-165-165-170-165-156.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+220+155+155+140+160+150+160+156.8
Minnesota-260-175-180-160-185-170-160-156.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+5-110+3-108+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-108+3+100
Minnesota-5-110-3-108-3-110-3-110-3-110-3-110-3-108-3+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+4½-110+3-110+3-105+3-110+3+100+3+100+3+100+3+100
Minnesota-4½-110-3-110-3-115-3-110-3-120-3-110-3-110-3+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlanta: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +5-108 to +4½-108
Minnesota Spread moved from -3½+100 to -3½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 10.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlanta: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +5-108 to +4½-108
Minnesota Spread moved from -3-120 to -3-125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46-110o44½-108o45-105o44½-110o44-110o44½-110o44-110o44½+100
Underu46-110u44½-108u45-115u44½-110u44-110u44½-110u44½-108u44½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-110o45-110o44½-110o44½-110o45-110o44½-110o44½-110o44½+100
Underu46½-110u45-110u44½-110u44½-110u45-110u44½-110u45-110u44½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45-105
The Under moved from u44½-110 to u44-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44-110 to o44½-110
The Under moved from u44½-110 to u44-110
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