Tampa Bay at Houston

Updated
Rank14
P/G23.2
PA/G25.1
45.0%55.0%
Tampa Bay WinHouston Win
21.1Projected Points 23.1
20Final Score 19
Rank4
P/G21.9
PA/G16.5
Rank14
P/G23.2
PA/G25.1
Rank4
P/G21.9
PA/G16.5

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
53.11167.030

C.J. Stroud

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.41188.001

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 23-20 at Atlanta FalconsTB: Baker Mayfield • ATL: Michael Penix-108
L 23-20 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Jayden Daniels • TB: Baker Mayfield-156
W 19-27 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Spencer Rattler • TB: Baker Mayfield-1050
W 14-48 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • TB: Baker Mayfield-520
L 24-26 at Dallas CowboysTB: Baker Mayfield • DAL: Cooper Rush-220
Houston Texans
Money Line
L 9-14 at Los Angeles RamsHOU: C.J. Stroud • LAR: Matthew Stafford+155
L 14-23 at Kansas City ChiefsHOU: C.J. Stroud • KC: Patrick Mahomes+450
W 12-32 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • HOU: C.J. Stroud+145
W 23-14 at Tennessee TitansHOU: C.J. Stroud • TEN: Will Levis+135
L 31-2 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • HOU: C.J. Stroud+280

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • No Reported Injuries

Houston Texans

Status
  • No Reported Injuries
SE 9 mph
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°84°82°81°
Humidity58%62%66%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSE 9 mphSE 8 mphSE 7 mphSSE 5 mph
TBD
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+100+135+125+135+130+135+135+142.8
Houston-120-155-145-155-150-155-145-142.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+120+135+135+130+130+130+135+142.8
Houston-140-155-155-150-150-150-150-142.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+2-110+2½+102+2½+100+3-118+2½+100+3-118+2½+102+3-107
Houston-2-110-2½-118-2½-120-3-102-2½-120-3-102-2½-118-3+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+2½-110+2½-110+3-120+2½-110+2½-110+2½+105+2½+105+3-107
Houston-2½-110-2½-110-3+100-2½-110-2½-110-2½-115-2½-110-3+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +2½+100 to +2½-110
Houston Spread moved from -1-110 to -1-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
Houston Spread moved from -2-110 to -3-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-110o42½-108o42½-115o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-108o42½+100
Underu46½-110u42½-108u42½-105u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-105u42½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½+100
Underu46½-110u43-110u43-110u43-110u42½-110u42½-110u43-110u42½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-110 to o42½-115
The Under moved from u42½-110 to u42½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-110 to o43-110
The Under moved from u43-110 to u42½-110