Buffalo at Houston

Updated
Rank7
P/G28.3
PA/G22.2
75.5%24.5%
Buffalo WinHouston Win
25.9Projected Points 18.0
19Final Score 23
Rank4
P/G23.7
PA/G17.3
Rank7
P/G28.3
PA/G22.2
Rank4
P/G23.7
PA/G17.3

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.610246.0187

Davis Mills

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.02182.031

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 32-44 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • BUF: Josh Allen-295
L 13-30 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-420
W 21-28 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • BUF: Josh Allen+130
W 40-9 at Carolina PanthersBUF: Josh Allen • CAR: Bryce Young-350
L 14-24 at Atlanta FalconsBUF: Josh Allen • ATL: Michael Penix-190
Houston Texans
Money Line
W 16-13 at Tennessee TitansHOU: Davis Mills • TEN: Cam Ward-240
W 29-36 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • HOU: Davis Mills-120
L 18-15 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Bo Nix • HOU: C.J. Stroud-130
W 15-26 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Brock Purdy • HOU: C.J. Stroud-155
L 19-27 at Seattle SeahawksHOU: C.J. Stroud • SEA: Sam Darnold+160

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • DEMichael HoechtIR
  • DLPhidarian MathisOut
  • STaylor RappIR
  • WRMecole HardmanIR
  • WRCurtis SamuelOut
  • WRKeon ColemanOut
  • LBShaq ThompsonProbable
  • WRKhalil ShakirProbable
  • DTEd OliverIR
  • TEDalton KincaidOut
  • DELandon JacksonIR

Houston Texans

Status
  • DEDenico AutryProbable
  • LBAzeez Al-ShaairProbable
  • KKa'imi FairbairnProbable
  • GEd IngramProbable
  • LBJamal HillOut
  • RBJoe MixonOut
  • TEDalton SchultzProbable
  • TTrent BrownProbable
  • QBDavis MillsNamed Starter
  • QBC.J. StroudOut
  • DBJalen PitreOut
  • TTytus HowardProbable
SE 9 mph
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)75°74°74°73°
Humidity83%88%89%90%
Precipitation0%8%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindSE 9 mphSSE 8 mphSE 8 mphSSE 8 mph
Adrian Hill
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-195--240-235-250-235-235-206.9
Houston+170-+200+195+210+195+210+206.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-180-250-235-270-275-240-235-206.9
Houston+155+210+200+220+225+200+225+206.9

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-4-110--4½-105-4½-110-4½-105-4½-110-4½-105-4½+100
Houston+4-110-+4½-115+4½-110+4½-115+4½-110+4½-110+4½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-2½-110-4½-110-4½-110-5-110-5-110-4½-105-4½-105-4½+100
Houston+2½-110+4½-110+4½-110+5-110+5-110+4½-105+5-110+4½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 30.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -4½-110 to -5½-110
Houston Spread moved from +5-105 to +5-110

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Buffalo: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 30.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -4-110 to -5½-110
Houston Spread moved from +5-105 to +4½-105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-110-o44½-105o44½-107o44½-110o44½-107o44½-105o44½+103
Underu44½-110-u44½-115u44½-113u44½-110u44½-113u44½-110u44½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-110o44½-110o44½-110o44-110o44½-110o44-110o44-110o44½+103
Underu42½-110u44½-110u44½-110u44-110u44½-110u44-110u44½-110u44½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44-110 to o44½-110
The Under moved from u44½-110 to u44½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45-110
The Under moved from u44½-110 to u44-110