Tampa Bay at Buffalo

Updated
Rank16
P/G22.4
PA/G24.2
35.8%64.2%
Tampa Bay WinBuffalo Win
20.0Projected Points 23.7
32Final Score 44
Rank7
P/G28.3
PA/G22.2
Rank16
P/G22.4
PA/G24.2
Rank7
P/G28.3
PA/G22.2

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.19244.0162

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.39238.0155

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 28-23 vs New England PatriotsNE: Drake Maye • TB: Baker Mayfield-150
W 23-3 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Baker Mayfield • NO: Spencer Rattler-190
L 9-24 at Detroit LionsTB: Baker Mayfield • DET: Jared Goff+240
W 19-30 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Mac Jones • TB: Baker Mayfield-185
W 38-35 at Seattle SeahawksTB: Baker Mayfield • SEA: Sam Darnold+170
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
L 13-30 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-420
W 21-28 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • BUF: Josh Allen+130
W 40-9 at Carolina PanthersBUF: Josh Allen • CAR: Bryce Young-350
L 14-24 at Atlanta FalconsBUF: Josh Allen • ATL: Michael Penix-190
L 23-20 vs New England PatriotsNE: Drake Maye • BUF: Josh Allen-420

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • LBMarkees WattsOut
  • RBJosh WilliamsOut
  • WRChris GodwinOut
  • LBAnthony NelsonProbable
  • LBHaason ReddickOut
  • WRMike EvansOut
  • TLuke HaggardProbable
  • RBBucky IrvingOut
  • GBen BredesonOut
  • DTVita VeaProbable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • CBTaron JohnsonProbable
  • DTEd OliverIR
  • DEMichael HoechtIR
  • LBShaq ThompsonOut
  • CBChristian BenfordProbable
  • WRKhalil ShakirProbable
  • STaylor RappIR
  • DLPhidarian MathisOut
  • DELandon JacksonIR
  • CBCam LewisProbable
  • DEA.J. EpenesaProbable
  • LBDorian WilliamsProbable
  • WRJoshua PalmerProbable
  • DEJoey BosaProbable
  • TEDalton KincaidOut
  • LBTerrel BernardProbable
  • DTT.J. SandersProbable
  • DTDeWayne CarterProbable
  • WRKeon ColemanOut
NW 20 mph
Highmark Stadium, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
High on Under
 
Temp (°F)41°41°40°39°
Humidity56%58%58%58%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionWindyWindyWindyWindy
WindNW 20 mphWNW 18 mphWNW 18 mphWNW 18 mph
Alex Moore
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+215-+240+250+235+250+250+263.8
Buffalo-260--290-306-290-306-290-263.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+205+250+250+250+240+260+260+263.8
Buffalo-240-300-300-310-295-310-295-263.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+6-108+6-108+6½-110+6½-105+6½-110+6½-105+6½-105+6½+104
Buffalo-6-108-6-108-6½-110-6½-115-6½-110-6½-115-6-108-6½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+6½-110+6½-110+6+100+6½-110+6½-110+6½-108+6+100+6½+104
Buffalo-6½-110-6½-110-6-120-6½-110-6½-110-6½-108-6½-108-6½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +6-107 to +5-110
No Steam Moves On Buffalo Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -5-110 to -5½-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-10.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50½-108o50½-108o45-115o45½-105o44½-110o45½-105o45½-110o45½+104
Underu50½-108u50½-108u45-105u45½-115u44½-110u45½-115u50½-108u45½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49½-110o45½-110o45½-110o46-110o46-110o45½-110o45½-110o45½+104
Underu49½-110u45½-110u45½-110u46-110u46-110u45½-110u46-110u45½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45½-110 to o45-115
The Under moved from u45-110 to u44½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u46½-110 to u46-110