Houston at Indianapolis

Updated
Rank14
P/G22.7
PA/G21.1
13.4%86.6%
WinIndianapolis Win
15.1Projected Points 31.1
3Final Score 31
Rank20
P/G23.3
PA/G24.4
Rank14
P/G22.7
PA/G21.1
Rank20
P/G23.3
PA/G24.4

Quarterbacks

Davis Mills

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
61.53167.055

Carson Wentz

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.35264.071

Last 5 Games

Houston Texans
Money Line
L 25-22 vs New England PatriotsNE: Mac Jones • HOU: Davis Mills+330
L 0-40 at Buffalo BillsHOU: Davis Mills • BUF: Josh Allen+1200
L 24-9 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Sam Darnold • HOU: Davis Mills+348
L 21-31 at Cleveland BrownsHOU: Tyrod Taylor • CLE: Baker Mayfield+600
W 21-37 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • HOU: Tyrod Taylor+152
Indianapolis Colts
Money Line
L 25-31 at Baltimore RavensIND: Carson Wentz • BAL: Lamar Jackson+310
W 27-17 at Miami DolphinsIND: Carson Wentz • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+130
L 16-25 at Tennessee TitansIND: Carson Wentz • TEN: Ryan Tannehill+190
L 27-24 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • IND: Carson Wentz+190
L 28-16 vs Seattle SeahawksSEA: Russell Wilson • IND: Carson Wentz+140

Injuries

Houston Texans

Status
  • OLJustin BrittOut
  • WRDanny AmendolaOut
  • OLMarcus CannonIR
  • RBRex BurkheadProbable
  • TLaremy TunsilIR
  • TEPharaoh BrownProbable
  • DBDesmond King IIProbable
  • QBTyrod TaylorIR
  • WRNico CollinsProbable

Indianapolis Colts

Status
  • CQuenton NelsonIR
  • CBRock Ya-SinProbable
  • CBXavier RhodesProbable
  • DEIsaac RochellProbable
  • DEKwity PayeProbable
  • RBJordan WilkinsOut
  • WRT.Y. HiltonProbable
  • CBT.J. CarrieIR
  • GBraden SmithOut
  • DEKemoko TurayOut
  • PKRodrigo BlankenshipOut
NW 9 mph
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)60°62°63°64°
Humidity54%51%51%49%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 9 mphWNW 10 mphW 11 mphWNW 11 mph
Jerome Boger
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewStrong Over Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+430+345+445+430+445+445+445+440.7
Indianapolis-550-470-565-550-570-565-470-440.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+425+425+468+425+425+450+468+440.7
Indianapolis-550-550-568-550-550-600-550-440.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+9½-110+10-110+11½-108+11½-110+11½-109+11½-108+11½-108+11½+103
Indianapolis-9½-110-10-110-11½-112-11½-110-11½-109-11½-112-10-110-11½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+10-110+11½-110+13-110+10½-110+11-110+11½-110+13-110+11½+103
Indianapolis-10-110-11½-110-13-110-10½-110-11-110-11½-110-11-110-11½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Indianapolis: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 50.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from +9-105 to +9½-115
Indianapolis Spread moved from -10-109 to -10½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from +10½-110 to +10-110
Indianapolis Spread moved from -11½-110 to -12½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o43½-105o45-110o45-110o45-109o45-110o43½-105o45-103
Underu43½-110u43½-115u45-110u45-110u45-109u45-110u45-109u45+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43-110o45-110o45-110o45-110o44½-110o45-110o44½-110o45-103
Underu43-110u45-110u45-110u45-110u44½-110u45-110u45-110u45+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 60.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-109 to o45-109
The Under moved from u43-107 to u43-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45-110
The Under moved from u43½-110 to u43-110