NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 18, 2025

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Rams (11-3)
Seattle Seahawks (11-3)		Matthew Stafford
Sam Darnold		47.9%
52.1%
+115
-122
+120
-125
+2-105
-1½-110
+2½-110
-2-105
21.0
21.9		42.9
o41½-110
u42-101
o41½-110
u42-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 17, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Eagles
Los Angeles Chargers		57.0%
43.0%
-110
+100
-115
+120
-1-105
+1½-114
+0-110
+2-115
19
22		-0.71668-0.77781-0.84360
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs		36.7%
63.3%
+198
-220
+205
-215
+5-110
-4½-102
+5-110
-4½-105
20
10		-1.11474-1.12550-1.00139
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals		79.5%
20.5%
-450
+377
-450
+400
-9-111
+9-101
-9½-108
+10-110
45
17		-0.22812-0.21869-0.22997
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers		31.5%
68.5%
+280
-315
+260
-300
+7+103
-6½-125
+6½+110
-6½-115
21
28		-0.29765-0.31508-0.37822
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders		77.9%
22.1%
-400
+337
-420
+350
-7½-105
+7½-105
-8-108
+8-108
24
17		-0.25157-0.24305-0.24998
Cincinnati Bengals
Buffalo Bills		28.3%
71.7%
+245
-270
+235
-260
+6½-115
-6-110
+6½-105
-6-110
34
39		-0.33448-0.34595-0.33223
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		24.1%
75.9%
+303
-360
+320
-360
+7½-110
-7½-101
+8-110
-7½-108
24
20		-1.42404-1.45556-1.42113
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars		51.4%
48.6%
-139
+130
-140
+130
-2½-106
+2½-103
-2-110
+2½-108
19
36		-0.84915-0.85085-0.72159
Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta Falcons		80.5%
19.5%
-285
+252
-310
+275
-6½-104
+6½-106
-6½-108
+7-120
37
9		-0.32482-0.30209-0.21752
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens		32.1%
67.9%
+230
-265
+235
-250
+6-105
-5½-110
+6-110
-5½-108
27
22		-1.22258-1.22166-1.13672
Tennessee Titans
Cleveland Browns		47.0%
53.0%
+165
-185
+170
-180
+3½-110
-3½+100
+4-110
-3½-108
31
29		-1.00068-1.00641-0.75585
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets		62.3%
37.7%
-137
+129
-140
+125
-2½-110
+2½+100
-2½-108
+2½-105
34
10		-0.56272-0.56639-0.47284
Washington Commanders
Minnesota Vikings		44.6%
55.4%
-101
-104
+100
-105
+1-110
-1+100
+1-108
+1-110
0
31		-0.68595-0.68116-0.59093
Dallas Cowboys
Detroit Lions		41.0%
59.0%
+168
-180
+165
-175
+3½-103
-3½-106
+3½-105
-3½-105
30
44		-0.45770-0.46561-0.52846
New York Giants
New England Patriots		23.1%
76.9%
+270
-320
+300
-360
+7-108
-7-110
+7-105
-7-105
15
33		-0.30361-0.27720-0.26294
Denver Broncos
Washington Commanders		75.5%
24.5%
-280
+235
-280
+245
-6-104
+6-110
-6+100
+6-105
27
26		-0.34013-0.33173-0.28051
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1610-6 (0.625)0-0.56735 
Sportsbooks1610-6 (0.625)0-0.56626 
DRatings1611-5 (0.688)0-0.55132
0.01603
0.01495

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/15/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWC WinDiv. Rd WinConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Los Angeles Rams (11-3-0)13.23.80.099.9%83.8%54.2%35.3%21.0%
2Denver Broncos (12-2-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%56.1%34.9%17.6%
3Seattle Seahawks (11-3-0)12.84.20.0100.0%75.0%42.6%24.3%13.8%
4Houston Texans (9-5-0)11.06.00.085.7%46.2%23.3%11.6%5.9%
5New England Patriots (11-3-0)13.04.00.099.9%60.9%30.2%13.2%5.7%
6Buffalo Bills (10-4-0)12.24.80.099.5%53.8%26.3%12.9%5.7%
7Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4-0)11.75.30.097.4%52.7%26.2%12.2%5.6%
8Green Bay Packers (9-4-1)10.85.21.081.2%46.2%21.7%9.4%4.7%
9Philadelphia Eagles (9-5-0)10.96.10.099.6%53.8%26.7%10.2%4.4%
10San Francisco 49ers (10-4-0)11.55.50.095.1%47.9%18.7%8.4%4.0%
11Los Angeles Chargers (10-4-0)11.45.60.095.9%40.6%16.6%7.0%3.1%
12Chicago Bears (10-4-0)11.45.60.088.1%37.8%16.4%5.5%2.4%
13Pittsburgh Steelers (8-6-0)9.67.40.078.1%37.7%13.2%4.8%1.8%
14Detroit Lions (8-6-0)9.77.30.034.7%17.4%6.9%3.0%1.4%
15Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7-0)8.78.30.062.1%25.8%9.1%2.7%1.0%
16Indianapolis Colts (8-6-0)9.47.60.021.4%9.2%3.9%1.8%0.8%
17Baltimore Ravens (7-7-0)8.38.70.022.1%10.9%4.1%1.7%0.6%
18Carolina Panthers (7-7-0)8.18.90.037.5%11.8%3.6%1.0%0.4%
19Minnesota Vikings (6-8-0)7.49.60.00.5%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
20Dallas Cowboys (6-7-1)7.58.51.00.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Atlanta Falcons (5-9-0)6.310.70.00.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Kansas City Chiefs (6-8-0)7.99.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Jets (3-11-0)3.813.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (3-11-0)4.112.90.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Cincinnati Bengals (4-10-0)5.511.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Tennessee Titans (2-12-0)2.814.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Washington Commanders (4-10-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28New York Giants (2-12-0)4.312.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Cleveland Browns (3-11-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (2-12-0)2.914.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New Orleans Saints (4-10-0)5.611.40.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Miami Dolphins (6-8-0)7.49.60.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.

Related Blog Posts

Randomness, Edge, and Volume in Sports Betting Outcomes

We dig into the data behind variance and expectation.

Top 5 Sweepstakes Sportsbooks

Find out who makes our top five sweepstakes sportsbook list.

2025-2026 NFL Season Preview

Here is our 2025-2026 NFL season preview based on 1,000 simulations.

The Predictive Power of Prediction Markets

Discover how prediction markets deliver accurate forecasts.

Creating a Ratings Model with Bradley-Terry

Modeling with the Bradley-Terry model in Python

All Blog Posts