Upcoming Games for October 5, 2023
| Time | Teams | Quarterbacks | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Points | Total Points | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears (0-4) Washington Commanders (2-2) | Justin Fields Sam Howell | 24.6% 75.4% | +220 -250 +230 -250 | +5½-105 -5½-108 +6-110 -5½-110 | 17.1 24.8 | 41.9 | o44½-105 u44½-108 o44-110 u44-110 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Points | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams Cincinnati Bengals | 29.1% 70.9% | +150 -160 +150 -165 | +3+100 -3-113 +3+100 -3-110 | 16 19 | -0.50078-0.49617 | -0.34349 | |
| Philadelphia Eagles Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 73.9% 26.1% | -255 +220 -245 +220 | -5½-108 +5½-105 -5½-110 +6-110 | 25 11 | -0.36120-0.36468 | -0.30212 | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers Las Vegas Raiders | 47.9% 52.1% | +150 -160 +142 -155 | +3-108 -3-108 +3-110 -3-105 | 23 18 | -0.93156-0.90461 | -0.73599 | |
| Chicago Bears Kansas City Chiefs | 12.8% 87.2% | +609 -725 +575 -725 | +12½-108 -11½-108 +12½-110 -12½-110 | 10 41 | -0.14885-0.15579 | -0.13723 | |
| Dallas Cowboys Arizona Cardinals | 90.2% 9.8% | -610 +500 -625 +550 | -11-110 +12½-108 -11-110 +12-110 | 16 28 | -1.81726-1.88757 | -2.31892 | |
| Carolina Panthers Seattle Seahawks | 28.6% 71.4% | +185 -200 +190 -206 | +4½-108 -4-105 +4½-110 -4½-110 | 27 37 | -0.42286-0.41358 | -0.33690 | |
| Indianapolis Colts Baltimore Ravens | 17.4% 82.6% | +290 -360 +320 -360 | +7½-108 -7-115 +7½-110 -7½-105 | 22 19 | -1.39926-1.45556 | -1.74715 | |
| Atlanta Falcons Detroit Lions | 36.5% 63.5% | +155 -165 +160 -170 | +3+107 -3-117 +3½-115 -3-110 | 6 20 | -0.48848-0.47678 | -0.45389 | |
| Buffalo Bills Washington Commanders | 73.4% 26.6% | -218 +205 -220 +200 | -5-105 +5½-108 -4½-110 +5½-110 | 37 3 | -0.39087-0.39531 | -0.30948 | |
| Denver Broncos Miami Dolphins | 34.1% 65.9% | +230 -257 +235 -260 | +6-108 -6-108 +6-110 -6-110 | 20 70 | -0.35132-0.34595 | -0.41711 | |
| New Orleans Saints Green Bay Packers | 46.2% 53.8% | -115 +110 -120 +106 | -1½-110 +2-108 -1-110 +1½-110 | 17 18 | -0.75294-0.75313 | -0.61906 | |
| New England Patriots New York Jets | 51.4% 48.6% | -135 +125 -135 +120 | -2½-108 +2½-108 -2½-110 +2½+100 | 15 10 | -0.57304-0.58291 | -0.66614 | |
| Houston Texans Jacksonville Jaguars | 16.5% 83.5% | +295 -365 +320 -365 | +7½-113 -7½+100 +7½-110 -7½+100 | 37 17 | -1.41112-1.45783 | -1.80351 | |
| Tennessee Titans Cleveland Browns | 25.2% 74.8% | +165 -180 +163 -170 | +3½-105 -3½-108 +3½-110 -3½-110 | 3 27 | -0.46185-0.47244 | -0.29008 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers Minnesota Vikings | 45.9% 54.1% | -110 -110 -105 +100 | +0-110 +0-103 +1-110 +1-110 | 28 24 | -0.69315-0.68116 | -0.77829 | |
| New York Giants San Francisco 49ers | 19.0% 81.0% | +460 -570 +480 -600 | +10½-108 -10½-105 +10½-105 -10½-110 | 12 30 | -0.19053-0.18327 | -0.21115 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 16 | 13-3 (0.812) | 0 | -0.52803 | |
| Sportsbooks | 16 | 13-3 (0.812) | 0 | -0.53288 | |
| DRatings | 16 | 12-4 (0.750) | 0 | -0.57441 | -0.04638 -0.04153 |
Season Simulation
*Through all games played on or before 10/02/23| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | T | Make Playoffs | Win Div | Win Conf | Win Super Bowl |
| 1 | Philadelphia Eagles (4-0-0) | 12.6 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 93.8% | 70.3% | 31.2% | 18.5% |
| 2 | Kansas City Chiefs (3-1-0) | 12.2 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 92.9% | 81.2% | 34.3% | 18.1% |
| 3 | Buffalo Bills (3-1-0) | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 93.4% | 70.4% | 32.4% | 16.6% |
| 4 | San Francisco 49ers (4-0-0) | 12.9 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 95.3% | 81.9% | 38.6% | 15.8% |
| 5 | Dallas Cowboys (3-1-0) | 10.6 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 76.1% | 25.6% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| 6 | Detroit Lions (3-1-0) | 11.2 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 85.2% | 72.5% | 10.0% | 4.2% |
| 7 | Baltimore Ravens (3-1-0) | 10.4 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 72.4% | 51.0% | 8.6% | 3.1% |
| 8 | Miami Dolphins (3-1-0) | 10.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 67.8% | 23.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| 9 | Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2-0) | 9.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 55.4% | 37.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| 10 | Seattle Seahawks (3-1-0) | 9.5 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 57.7% | 13.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| 11 | Cleveland Browns (2-2-0) | 9.3 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 56.2% | 26.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| 12 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1-0) | 9.3 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 57.0% | 35.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| 13 | Los Angeles Chargers (2-2-0) | 8.7 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 45.0% | 15.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| 14 | New England Patriots (1-3-0) | 7.1 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 17.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| 15 | Tennessee Titans (2-2-0) | 8.6 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 48.2% | 32.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| 16 | Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2-0) | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 41.8% | 17.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| 17 | Green Bay Packers (2-2-0) | 8.4 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 37.9% | 16.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| 18 | New Orleans Saints (2-2-0) | 9.1 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 50.9% | 32.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 19 | Atlanta Falcons (2-2-0) | 8.9 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 48.4% | 30.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 20 | Cincinnati Bengals (1-3-0) | 6.7 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 14.8% | 5.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% |
| 21 | Los Angeles Rams (2-2-0) | 7.7 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 25.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| 22 | Minnesota Vikings (1-3-0) | 7.5 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 26.7% | 11.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| 23 | Houston Texans (2-2-0) | 7.8 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 31.5% | 17.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 24 | Washington Commanders (2-2-0) | 7.7 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 25.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| 25 | New York Jets (1-3-0) | 6.8 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 17.1% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 26 | Indianapolis Colts (2-2-0) | 7.3 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 24.7% | 12.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 27 | Las Vegas Raiders (1-3-0) | 6.6 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 14.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 28 | Denver Broncos (1-3-0) | 5.8 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 6.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 29 | New York Giants (1-3-0) | 6.2 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 9.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 30 | Carolina Panthers (0-4-0) | 4.8 | 12.2 | 0.0 | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 31 | Arizona Cardinals (1-3-0) | 5.4 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 5.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 32 | Chicago Bears (0-4-0) | 3.6 | 13.4 | 0.0 | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Predictions Methodology
The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.
Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.
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