NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 5, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Green Bay Packers (9-3)
Detroit Lions (11-1)
Jordan Love
Jared Goff
32.6%
67.4%
+155
-170
+170
-177
+3½-113
-3½-103
+3+104
-3-110
22.7
27.6
50.3
o51½+100
u51½-108
o51½-110
u52-110
Games for Dec 4, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Ravens
Los Angeles Chargers
59.8%
40.2%
-145
+140
-155
+155
-3+100
+3-113
-3-105
+3-105
30
23
-0.53299-0.49784-0.51365
Philadelphia Eagles
Los Angeles Rams
63.0%
37.0%
-155
+140
-155
+140
-3-105
+3-105
-3-108
+3-105
37
20
-0.52206-0.52206-0.46142
San Francisco 49ers
Green Bay Packers
36.3%
63.7%
+230
-275
+250
-260
+6½-110
-6-108
+6½-110
-6-108
10
38
-0.34588-0.33332-0.45166
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
51.0%
49.0%
-115
+100
-115
+105
-1-110
+1½-108
-1-108
+1½-110
6
16
-0.72743-0.74028-0.71317
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
71.4%
28.6%
-235
+210
-250
+220
-5-110
+5½-108
-5½-108
+5½-108
29
19
-0.37834-0.36291-0.33694
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
18.6%
81.4%
+330
-390
+340
-400
+8-108
-8-105
+8½-110
-8-108
32
27
-1.48669-1.50851-1.68061
New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins
18.1%
81.9%
+320
-380
+330
-370
+7½-108
-7½-105
+7½-105
-7-120
15
34
-0.26295-0.25884-0.20003
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New York Giants
65.1%
34.9%
-265
+227
-250
+240
-6-108
+6-108
-5½-115
+6-108
30
7
-0.35150-0.34485-0.42949
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Commanders
19.0%
81.0%
+460
-575
+475
-580
+11-110
-10½-108
+11-108
-11-106
34
26
-1.75273-1.77573-1.66152
Minnesota Vikings
Chicago Bears
72.0%
28.0%
-150
+140
-152
+145
-3+100
+3-108
-3+100
+3-105
30
27
-0.52736-0.51683-0.32824
Kansas City Chiefs
Carolina Panthers
89.4%
10.6%
-620
+500
-650
+520
-10½-108
+11-110
-10½-108
+11-110
30
27
-0.17694-0.17067-0.11222
Detroit Lions
Indianapolis Colts
81.2%
18.8%
-325
+280
-320
+310
-7+100
+7-108
-7+100
+7+100
24
6
-0.29574-0.27772-0.20768
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns
52.8%
47.2%
-205
+180
-210
+190
-3½-108
+3½-105
-3½-108
+3½+100
19
24
-1.05849-1.08672-0.75122
Houston Texans
Dallas Cowboys
75.6%
24.4%
-330
+290
-340
+315
-7-107
+7-103
-7-108
+7+100
34
10
-0.28827-0.27143-0.28028
Cincinnati Bengals
Los Angeles Chargers
45.5%
54.5%
+100
-115
+104
-108
+1-101
-1-105
+1½-110
+0-108
27
34
-0.66000-0.66479-0.60759
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
51.1%
48.9%
+140
-152
+140
-150
+2½+107
-3+100
+3-110
-2½-110
21
30
-0.52520-0.52736-0.71480
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1613-3 (0.812)0-0.49854 
Sportsbooks1613-3 (0.812)0-0.49407 
DRatings1612-4 (0.750)0-0.47305
0.02549
0.02102

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/02/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (11-1-0)14.62.40.0100.0%77.7%62.5%44.1%28.1%
2Buffalo Bills (10-2-0)13.73.30.0100.0%100.0%33.1%38.2%19.2%
3Kansas City Chiefs (11-1-0)14.32.70.0100.0%95.4%63.8%32.0%14.8%
4Philadelphia Eagles (10-2-0)13.83.20.0100.0%98.4%24.7%18.1%8.7%
5Minnesota Vikings (10-2-0)13.04.00.099.9%16.2%10.2%13.8%6.9%
6Green Bay Packers (9-3-0)12.14.90.098.9%6.1%2.6%12.9%6.9%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-5-0)10.96.10.096.1%38.4%0.1%9.4%3.9%
8Houston Texans (8-5-0)10.07.00.087.0%83.8%0.0%5.4%2.1%
9Los Angeles Chargers (8-4-0)11.25.80.096.6%4.2%0.8%5.1%1.7%
10Pittsburgh Steelers (9-3-0)11.45.60.097.9%61.6%2.2%5.0%1.6%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-6-0)9.17.90.042.7%37.8%0.0%2.6%1.0%
12Miami Dolphins (5-7-0)8.28.80.013.4%0.0%0.0%1.7%0.8%
13Denver Broncos (8-5-0)10.07.00.078.5%0.4%0.0%2.1%0.8%
14Washington Commanders (8-5-0)10.26.80.075.5%1.6%0.0%1.8%0.7%
15Seattle Seahawks (7-5-0)9.37.70.046.7%42.4%0.0%2.0%0.7%
16Los Angeles Rams (6-6-0)8.38.70.019.3%16.0%0.0%1.6%0.7%
17Atlanta Falcons (6-6-0)9.08.00.057.8%53.9%0.0%1.8%0.5%
18Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6-0)8.88.20.048.9%44.4%0.0%1.3%0.3%
19Indianapolis Colts (6-7-0)8.48.60.028.3%15.8%0.0%1.1%0.3%
20San Francisco 49ers (5-7-0)7.39.70.04.8%3.8%0.0%0.1%0.0%
21New Orleans Saints (4-8-0)6.310.70.01.9%1.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Dallas Cowboys (5-7-0)7.39.70.03.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Cincinnati Bengals (4-8-0)6.410.60.01.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Las Vegas Raiders (2-10-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Carolina Panthers (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26New York Jets (3-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27New York Giants (2-10-0)3.113.90.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28New England Patriots (3-10-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Chicago Bears (4-8-0)5.211.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10-0)4.312.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Cleveland Browns (3-9-0)4.412.60.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Tennessee Titans (3-9-0)5.311.70.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.