NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 7, 2023

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Detroit Lions (9-8)
Kansas City Chiefs (17-3)		Unknown
Unknown		17.3%
82.7%
+240
-280
+250
-270
+7-108
-7½+120
+7-110
-7-110
19.7
32.8		52.5
o54-108
u54½-110
o54-110
u54-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 6, 2023
Games for Sep 10, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers		8.4%
91.6%
+790
-1000
+930
-1100
+14½-108
-14½-106
+14½-110
-14-110
13
38		-0.11653-0.10067-0.08790
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles		18.8%
81.2%
+946
-1400
+1080
-1600
+17-108
-17-108
+17-110
-17-105
16
22		-0.09751-0.08622-0.20864
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks		39.0%
61.0%
+210
-220
+230
-240
+5-108
-4½-110
+5-110
-4½-110
16
19		-0.38472-0.35718-0.49369
Minnesota Vikings
Chicago Bears		59.8%
40.2%
-275
+235
-260
+245
-7+110
+6½-108
-6½-110
+6½-110
29
13		-0.34150-0.33743-0.51418
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals		17.7%
82.3%
+545
-650
+585
-650
+12-108
-12-105
+11½-110
-11-110
16
27		-0.16458-0.15567-0.19420
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills		26.0%
74.0%
+330
-400
+340
-400
+9½-120
-8-108
+8-110
-7½-110
23
35		-0.25519-0.25005-0.30052
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints		36.9%
63.1%
+164
-180
+170
-180
+3½-115
-3½+102
+4-110
-3½-105
10
7		-0.99220-1.00641-0.99601
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons		39.3%
60.7%
+215
-250
+232
-240
+6-108
-6-105
+6-110
-5½-110
17
30		-0.36772-0.35536-0.49931
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts		34.6%
65.4%
+135
-150
+130
-143
+3-113
-3+100
+3-110
-2½-115
32
31		-0.87962-0.85590-1.06140
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers		46.5%
53.5%
+135
-140
+135
-150
+2½-105
-2½-108
+3-119
-2½-110
14
28		-0.54782-0.53604-0.62483
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins		39.9%
60.1%
+185
-190
+200
-210
+3½-104
-3½-110
+4-110
-3½-110
6
11		-0.42889-0.40015-0.50984
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars		35.2%
64.8%
+235
-250
+240
-250
+6-108
-5½-111
+6½-110
-5½-110
16
20		-0.34919-0.34485-0.43360
Kansas City Chiefs
Las Vegas Raiders		77.3%
22.7%
-400
+335
-400
+350
-8-104
+8½-108
-8½-110
+8½-110
31
13		-0.25260-0.24512-0.25736
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens		43.2%
56.8%
+103
-115
+110
-110
+1-102
-1-108
+1½-110
+0-110
16
13		-0.73516-0.74194-0.83935
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Chargers		21.0%
79.0%
+235
-275
+240
-265
+6½-108
-7+110
+6½-110
-6½-110
10
31		-0.34150-0.34011-0.23613
Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay Packers		43.2%
56.8%
+172
-170
+176
-175
+3½-110
-3½+102
+3½-110
-3-119
17
41		-0.45989-0.45067-0.56585
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/29/23
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsMake Div. Rd.Win Div. Rd.Conf. ChampWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (14-3-0)14.03.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%47.7%
2Philadelphia Eagles (14-3-0)14.03.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%52.3%
3Cincinnati Bengals (12-4-0)12.04.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4San Francisco 49ers (13-4-0)13.04.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5New York Giants (9-7-1)9.07.01.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8-0)9.08.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Buffalo Bills (13-3-0)13.03.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Dallas Cowboys (12-5-0)12.05.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Minnesota Vikings (13-4-0)13.04.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Baltimore Ravens (10-7-0)10.07.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Los Angeles Chargers (10-7-0)10.07.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Miami Dolphins (9-8-0)9.08.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Seattle Seahawks (9-8-0)9.08.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9-0)8.09.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Detroit Lions (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Houston Texans (3-13-1)3.013.01.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Carolina Panthers (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-12-0)5.012.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Tennessee Titans (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Green Bay Packers (8-9-0)8.09.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Cleveland Browns (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Atlanta Falcons (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Arizona Cardinals (4-13-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Chicago Bears (3-14-0)3.014.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Indianapolis Colts (4-12-1)4.012.01.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26New York Jets (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Washington Commanders (8-8-1)8.08.01.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28New England Patriots (8-9-0)8.09.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29New Orleans Saints (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (6-11-0)6.011.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Denver Broncos (5-12-0)5.012.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Pittsburgh Steelers (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.

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