NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 1, 2022

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Buffalo Bills (7-3)
New England Patriots (6-4)
Unknown
Unknown
69.2%
30.8%
-225
+195
-215
+200
-5-108
+5-108
-5-110
+5-110
26.0
20.4
46.4
o43½-108
u43½-108
o43½-110
u44-110
Games for Nov 30, 2022

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Pittsburgh Steelers (3-7)
Indianapolis Colts (4-6-1)
41.1%
58.9%
+120
-135
+125
-130
+2½-108
-2-110
+2½-110
-1½-110
43.4
o39½-108
u39½-108
o39½-110
u39½-110
4th Q
13:00
16
17

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Texans
Miami Dolphins
8.9%
91.1%
+650
-860
+645
-850
+14-105
-14-108
+14-110
-14-110
15
30
-0.13874-0.13978-0.09356
Cincinnati Bengals
Tennessee Titans
56.5%
43.5%
-110
-110
-105
-110
+0-108
+0-108
+1-110
+0-110
20
16
-0.69315-0.70441-0.57088
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cleveland Browns
61.7%
38.3%
-170
+160
-165
+160
-3-118
+3+105
-3-120
+3½-110
17
23
-0.96964-0.96273-0.95951
Atlanta Falcons
Washington Commanders
33.5%
66.5%
+160
-175
+178
-185
+3½-108
-3½+100
+4-110
-3½-110
13
19
-0.47276-0.44093-0.40855
Denver Broncos
Carolina Panthers
51.5%
48.5%
-115
+103
-110
-105
-1-105
+0+103
+0-110
+1-110
10
23
-0.73516-0.70441-0.72315
Baltimore Ravens
Jacksonville Jaguars
75.8%
24.2%
-165
+150
-165
+155
-3-108
+3-105
-3-119
+3½-110
27
28
-0.93869-0.95078-1.41770
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1510-4 (0.700)1-0.50178 
Sportsbooks1510-5 (0.667)0-0.49614 
DRatings1511-4 (0.733)0-0.49471
0.00707
0.00143

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/21/22
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsMake Div. Rd.Win Div. Rd.Conf. ChampWin Super Bowl
1Philadelphia Eagles (9-1-0)14.22.80.0100.0%91.4%63.1%41.6%23.4%
2Kansas City Chiefs (8-2-0)13.63.40.099.9%84.3%53.1%30.4%14.7%
3Dallas Cowboys (7-3-0)12.24.80.098.3%66.2%38.8%22.6%13.1%
4Baltimore Ravens (7-3-0)12.24.80.097.8%72.1%41.6%22.9%12.7%
5Buffalo Bills (7-3-0)11.75.30.093.9%63.1%35.8%18.5%10.1%
6Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.64.40.099.5%66.4%37.8%14.3%6.0%
7Miami Dolphins (7-3-0)11.35.80.091.7%46.6%21.1%9.2%4.1%
8Tennessee Titans (7-3-0)11.15.90.099.0%52.5%19.0%7.4%2.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (6-4-0)10.36.70.082.9%45.1%18.7%7.0%2.8%
10Cincinnati Bengals (6-4-0)9.47.60.056.0%29.5%11.8%5.0%2.2%
11Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5-0)9.37.70.077.7%31.4%11.9%4.4%1.8%
12Washington Commanders (6-5-0)9.17.90.053.3%23.5%7.7%3.2%1.3%
13New York Giants (7-3-0)9.67.40.065.5%28.1%8.3%3.0%1.1%
14New York Jets (6-4-0)9.57.50.060.5%23.7%8.0%3.1%1.1%
15New England Patriots (6-4-0)9.57.50.060.0%18.9%7.4%2.8%1.1%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-4-0)9.67.40.066.4%26.7%7.4%1.9%0.7%
17Detroit Lions (4-6-0)7.49.60.012.6%5.4%1.6%0.6%0.2%
18Atlanta Falcons (5-6-0)7.59.50.022.2%7.5%2.0%0.6%0.2%
19New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.410.60.07.4%3.6%1.3%0.3%0.1%
20Los Angeles Chargers (5-5-0)8.38.70.031.4%7.0%1.5%0.3%0.1%
21Green Bay Packers (4-7-0)7.010.00.05.7%1.4%0.5%0.2%0.1%
22Cleveland Browns (3-7-0)6.210.80.02.3%0.9%0.3%0.1%0.1%
23Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7-0)5.311.70.01.3%0.9%0.3%0.1%0.0%
24Los Angeles Rams (3-7-0)5.811.20.02.6%1.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%
25Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)5.311.70.02.1%0.8%0.2%0.1%0.0%
26Indianapolis Colts (4-6-1)6.69.41.03.1%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Cardinals (4-7-0)6.410.60.03.7%1.1%0.2%0.1%0.0%
28Denver Broncos (3-7-0)5.311.70.00.7%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Chicago Bears (3-8-0)4.712.30.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Pittsburgh Steelers (3-7-0)6.110.90.01.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Las Vegas Raiders (3-7-0)5.411.60.00.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Houston Texans (1-8-1)2.313.71.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.