NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 18, 2021

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
Line
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Buffalo Bills (4-1)
Tennessee Titans (3-2)
Josh Allen
Ryan Tannehill
70.2%
29.8%
-260
+250
-254
+230
30.9
24.1
55.0
o53½-109
u53½-109
o53½-110
u53½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Oct 17, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Chargers
Baltimore Ravens
35.3%
64.7%
+145
-140
+141
-150
6
34
-0.53045-0.52565-0.43603
Minnesota Vikings
Carolina Panthers
46.3%
53.7%
-135
+115
-135
+125
34
28
-0.59314-0.57304-0.77104
Kansas City Chiefs
Washington Football Team
68.8%
31.2%
-285
+255
-280
+270
31
13
-0.32247-0.31247-0.37366
Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
69.9%
30.1%
-235
+205
-232
+202
24
14
-0.38349-0.38789-0.35800
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
13.4%
86.6%
+445
-470
+468
-550
3
31
-0.20092-0.18902-0.14441
Miami Dolphins
Jacksonville Jaguars
74.3%
25.7%
-125
+130
-125
+115
20
23
-0.82321-0.78592-1.35720
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1411-3 (0.786)0-0.49339 
Sportsbooks1411-3 (0.786)0-0.48619 
DRatings1410-4 (0.714)0-0.53875
-0.04536
-0.05256

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 10/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionConf. Champ.Win Super Bowl
1Buffalo Bills (4-1-0)12.74.30.099.0%94.6%37.7%20.1%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-1-0)12.64.40.096.0%83.2%32.1%19.2%
3Arizona Cardinals (5-0-0)12.84.20.097.5%60.2%20.2%10.5%
4Los Angeles Rams (4-1-0)12.14.90.094.6%37.8%16.7%9.3%
5Baltimore Ravens (4-1-0)11.35.70.089.9%67.1%19.0%8.7%
6Kansas City Chiefs (2-3-0)10.07.00.072.9%25.2%14.8%7.6%
7Green Bay Packers (4-1-0)11.15.90.090.4%85.2%12.8%6.6%
8Los Angeles Chargers (4-1-0)11.25.80.087.7%57.1%10.8%4.3%
9Dallas Cowboys (4-1-0)10.76.30.087.5%83.5%8.0%3.5%
10New Orleans Saints (3-2-0)9.97.10.065.4%13.0%5.5%2.4%
11Cleveland Browns (3-2-0)9.67.40.061.8%20.9%5.0%2.0%
12Tennessee Titans (3-2-0)9.37.70.079.1%76.4%4.4%1.5%
13Seattle Seahawks (2-3-0)8.88.20.037.3%1.2%1.6%0.7%
14Las Vegas Raiders (3-2-0)8.88.20.042.1%10.3%1.7%0.5%
15Denver Broncos (3-2-0)8.68.40.037.9%7.4%1.6%0.5%
16Pittsburgh Steelers (2-3-0)7.99.10.025.8%4.3%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (1-4-0)7.49.60.027.4%22.4%1.3%0.4%
18New England Patriots (2-3-0)8.09.00.024.9%3.5%1.0%0.3%
19San Francisco 49ers (2-3-0)8.48.60.029.4%0.8%0.9%0.3%
20Cincinnati Bengals (3-2-0)8.28.80.030.9%7.7%0.8%0.2%
21Carolina Panthers (3-2-0)8.38.80.028.3%3.3%0.6%0.2%
22Miami Dolphins (1-4-0)7.69.40.018.6%1.8%0.5%0.2%
23Washington Football Team (2-3-0)7.39.70.015.1%7.6%0.5%0.1%
24Chicago Bears (3-2-0)7.89.20.019.7%8.4%0.4%0.1%
25Philadelphia Eagles (2-3-0)7.49.60.016.2%8.1%0.5%0.1%
26Minnesota Vikings (2-3-0)7.29.80.013.4%6.3%0.2%0.0%
27Atlanta Falcons (2-3-0)6.710.30.07.2%0.5%0.0%0.0%
28New York Giants (1-4-0)5.511.50.01.8%0.8%0.0%0.0%
29Houston Texans (1-4-0)4.412.60.01.3%1.1%0.0%0.0%
30New York Jets (1-4-0)5.012.00.00.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
31Jacksonville Jaguars (0-5-0)2.314.70.00.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
32Detroit Lions (0-5-0)3.213.80.00.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.