Cleveland at Kansas City

Updated

Cleveland Browns

(11-7)
Rank8
P/G22.8
PA/G22.6
23.0%77.0%
Cleveland WinKansas City Win
22.3Projected Points 30.9
17Final Score 22

Kansas City Chiefs

(15-6)
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0
Rank8
P/G22.8
PA/G22.6
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.816223.0268

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.315316.0386

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Browns
Money Line
W 48-37 at Pittsburgh SteelersCLE: Baker Mayfield • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger+220
W 22-24 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Mason Rudolph • CLE: Baker Mayfield-420
L 16-23 at New York JetsCLE: Baker Mayfield • NYJ: Sam Darnold-300
W 20-6 at New York GiantsCLE: Baker Mayfield • NYG: Colt McCoy-270
L 47-42 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • CLE: Baker Mayfield+155
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
L 38-21 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Chad Henne+250
W 14-17 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Matt Ryan • KC: Patrick Mahomes-525
W 32-29 at New Orleans SaintsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NO: Drew Brees-140
W 33-27 at Miami DolphinsKC: Patrick Mahomes • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-335
W 16-22 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Drew Lock • KC: Patrick Mahomes-810

Injuries

Cleveland Browns

Status
  • TChris HubbardOut for Season
  • LBB.J. GoodsonProbable
  • TEStephen CarlsonProbable
  • SJovante MoffattOut
  • CBKevin JohnsonProbable
  • OLJoel BitonioProbable
  • TEDavid NjokuProbable
  • CBRobert JacksonIR
  • WRKhaDarel HodgeProbable
  • CNick HarrisIR
  • TJack ConklinProbable
  • DBDenzel WardProbable
  • DEOlivier VernonOut for Season

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • OLMike RemmersQuestionable
  • CBRashad FentonOut
  • WRTyreek HillProbable
  • TEDeon YelderProbable
  • WRSammy WatkinsOut
  • DEMichael DannaProbable
  • LBWillie Gay Jr.Out
  • CBDeandre BakerOut for Season
  • LBBen NiemannProbable
  • RBClyde Edwards-HelaireOut
NW 15 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)39°39°38°36°
Humidity70%70%72%74%
Precipitation0%8%0%5%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNW 15 mphNW 14 mphNW 12 mphNW 10 mph
Clay Martin
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland+325+325+320+310+320+325-
Kansas City-412-450-400-410-400-400-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland+335+348+330+325+340+348-
Kansas City-420-420-410-450-410-410-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland+4½-110+8-117+8-105+7½-105+8-109+7½-105+8-105-
Kansas City-4½-110-8-103-8-115-7½-115-8-109-7½-115-8-103-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland+8-110+8-110+8-110+8½-110+8-110+8½-110-
Kansas City-8-110-8-110-8-110-8½-110-8-110-8-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cleveland: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cleveland: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cleveland: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cleveland: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cleveland: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cleveland Spread moved from +9-110 to +9-120
Kansas City Spread moved from -7½-107 to -7½-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo52½-105o56-105o56-110o56-107o56-109o56-107o56-105-
Underu52½-115u56-115u56-110u56-113u56-109u56-113u56-109-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo54-110o56-110o56-110o55½-110o56-110o56-110o55½-110-
Underu54-110u56-110u56-110u55½-110u56-110u56-110u56-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o56-104 to o56-109
The Under moved from u56-109 to u56-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o56-110 to o56½-110
The Under moved from u56-110 to u55½-110
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