Browns at Chiefs

Updated
23.0%
Projected Points: 22.2

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.816223.0268
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 48-37 at Pittsburgh SteelersCLE: Baker Mayfield • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger+220
W 22-24 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Mason Rudolph • CLE: Baker Mayfield-420
L 16-23 at New York JetsCLE: Baker Mayfield • NYJ: Sam Darnold-300
W 20-6 at New York GiantsCLE: Baker Mayfield • NYG: Colt McCoy-270
L 47-42 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • CLE: Baker Mayfield+155

Injuries

Status
  • TChris HubbardOut for Season
  • LBB.J. GoodsonQuestionable
  • TEStephen CarlsonQuestionable
  • SJovante MoffattQuestionable
  • CBKevin JohnsonProbable
  • OLJoel BitonioProbable
  • TEDavid NjokuQuestionable
  • CBRobert JacksonIR
  • WRKhaDarel HodgeProbable
  • CNick HarrisIR
  • TJack ConklinQuestionable
  • DBDenzel WardProbable
  • DEOlivier VernonOut for Season
77.0%
Projected Points: 30.9

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.315316.0386
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 38-21 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Chad Henne+250
W 14-17 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Matt Ryan • KC: Patrick Mahomes-525
W 32-29 at New Orleans SaintsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NO: Drew Brees-140
W 33-27 at Miami DolphinsKC: Patrick Mahomes • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-335
W 16-22 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Drew Lock • KC: Patrick Mahomes-810

Injuries

Status
  • OLMike RemmersProbable
  • CBRashad FentonQuestionable
  • WRTyreek HillProbable
  • TEDeon YelderQuestionable
  • WRSammy WatkinsOut
  • DEMichael DannaProbable
  • LBWillie Gay Jr.Out
  • CBDeandre BakerOut for Season
  • LBBen NiemannProbable
  • RBClyde Edwards-HelaireDoubtful
NW 15 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)40°39°38°36°
Humidity70%68%70%73%
Precipitation10%0%4%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNW 15 mphNW 14 mphNW 12 mphNW 9 mph
Clay Martin
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Very Strong Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Browns+377+375+370+395+370+395
Chiefs-490-550-460-495-460-460
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Browns+400+374+400+375+400+400
Chiefs-500-450-500-550-500-450

Spread Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Browns+4½-110+9½-110+10-120+9½-110+9½-109+9½-110+9½-109
Chiefs-4½-110-9½-110-10+100-9½-110-9½-109-9½-110-9½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Browns+9½-110+9-110+9½-110+9½-110+9½-110+9½-110
Chiefs-9½-110-9-110-9½-110-9½-110-9½-110-9-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Browns: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chiefs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Browns: 0.0%
Chiefs: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Browns: 50.0%
Chiefs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Browns: 0.0%
Chiefs: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Browns Spread moved from +10-110 to +10-119
Chiefs Spread moved from -10+106 to -9½-109

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo52½-105o57-112o57-110o57-110o57-109o57-110o57-109
Underu52½-115u57-108u57-110u57-110u57-109u57-110u57-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo54-110o57-110o57-110o57-110o57-110o57-110o57-110
Underu54-110u57-110u57-110u57-110u57-110u57-110u57-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o57-108 to o57-110
The Under moved from u57-109 to u57-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o57-110 to o57½-110
The Under moved from u57½-110 to u57-110