Pittsburgh at Buffalo

Updated

Pittsburgh Steelers

(10-8)
Rank15
P/G17.8
PA/G19.7
32.8%67.2%
Pittsburgh WinBuffalo Win
19.5Projected Points 24.2
23Final Score 16

Buffalo Bills

(12-7)
Rank4
P/G26.6
PA/G18.7
Rank15
P/G17.8
PA/G19.7
Rank4
P/G26.6
PA/G18.7

Quarterbacks

Ben Roethlisberger

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
0.000.000

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
0.000.000

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Steelers
Money Line
L 48-37 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Baker Mayfield • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger-230
L 22-24 at Cleveland BrownsPIT: Mason Rudolph • CLE: Baker Mayfield+390
W 24-28 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Philip Rivers • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger-110
L 17-27 at Cincinnati BengalsPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • CIN: Ryan Finley-1050
L 15-26 at Buffalo BillsPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • BUF: Josh Allen+116
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
L 24-38 at Kansas City ChiefsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes+140
W 3-17 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • BUF: Josh Allen-135
W 24-27 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Philip Rivers • BUF: Josh Allen-320
W 26-56 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen+160
W 38-9 at New England PatriotsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Cam Newton-335

Injuries

Pittsburgh Steelers

Status
  • QBJoshua DobbsIR
  • RBAnthony McFarland Jr.IR
  • TZach BannerIR
  • LBT.J. WattProbable
  • DEStephon TuittIR
  • DTDemarcus ChristmasIR
  • LBAlex HighsmithProbable
  • CBDeMarkus AcyIR
  • DETyson AlualuProbable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • DTHarrison PhillipsOut
  • RBZack MossOut
  • DEBryan Cox Jr.IR
  • WRIsaiah McKenzieProbable
  • WRMarquez StevensonIR
  • DTStar LotuleleiOut
  • WREmmanuel SandersProbable
WSW 17 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
High on Under
 
Temp (°F)75°76°77°77°
Humidity76%73%69%69%
Precipitation3%3%2%2%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWSW 17 mphWSW 17 mphWSW 17 mphWSW 16 mph
John Hussey
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+240+225+230+225+235+230+235-
Buffalo-285-275-275-270-275-275-270-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+210+240+224+250+225+240+240-
Buffalo-250-280-260-300-265-280-260-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+6-110+6½-110+6½-115+6½-110+6½-114+6½-115+6½-110-
Buffalo-6-110-6½-110-6½-105-6½-110-6½-104-6½-105-6½-104-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+5½-110+6-110+6-105+6½-110+6½-110+6½-110+6½-110-
Buffalo-5½-110-6-110-6-115-6½-110-6½-110-6½-110-6-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pittsburgh: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh Spread moved from +6½-108 to +6½-115
Buffalo Spread moved from -6½-105 to -6½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh Spread moved from +6½-110 to +6-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -6-110 to -6½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo51½-110o48-105o47-115o47½-110o47-114o47-115o47-114-
Underu51½-110u48-115u47-105u47½-110u47-104u47-105u47½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo51-110o47½-110o47½-110o48-110o48-110o47½-110o47½-110-
Underu51-110u47½-110u47½-110u48-110u48-110u47½-110u48-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-104 to o47-114
The Under moved from u48-110 to u48-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48-110 to o48½-110
The Under moved from u48-110 to u47½-110
Dallas at Tampa Bay
NY Jets at Carolina