Buffalo at Miami

Updated
Rank4
P/G26.6
PA/G18.7
51.3%48.7%
Buffalo WinMiami Win
24.7Projected Points 24.0
21Final Score 14
Rank7
P/G27.9
PA/G23.2
Rank4
P/G26.6
PA/G18.7
Rank7
P/G27.9
PA/G23.2

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.31410.92614

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
71.01412.12510

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 21-27 vs New England PatriotsNE: Bailey Zappe • BUF: Josh Allen-1100
W 24-22 at Los Angeles ChargersBUF: Josh Allen • LAC: Easton Stick-715
W 10-31 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • BUF: Josh Allen-135
W 20-17 at Kansas City ChiefsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes+110
L 34-37 at Philadelphia EaglesBUF: Josh Allen • PHI: Jalen Hurts+135
Miami Dolphins
Money Line
L 19-56 at Baltimore RavensMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BAL: Lamar Jackson+150
W 20-22 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-120
W 0-30 vs New York JetsNYJ: Tim Boyle • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-340
L 28-27 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Will Levis • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-775
W 45-15 at Washington CommandersMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • WAS: Sam Howell-380

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • QBJosh AllenProbable
  • CMitch MorseProbable
  • SDamar HamlinProbable
  • TEDawson KnoxProbable
  • DTJordan PhillipsIR

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • RBDevon AchaneProbable
  • RBRaheem MostertDoubtful
  • WRTyreek HillProbable
  • LBBradley ChubbOut for Season
  • TRobert HuntProbable
  • WRJaylen WaddleOut
  • LBJerome BakerProbable
  • QBTua TagovailoaProbable
  • SJevon HollandProbable
  • CBXavien HowardOut
  • OLConnor WilliamsOut for Season
N 6 mph
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)63°63°62°61°
Humidity77%78%81%83%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindN 6 mphN 7 mphN 8 mphNNE 8 mph
Alex Kemp
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-165-150-150-144-150-144-144-132.2
Miami+140+130+130+124+130+124+130+132.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-135-145-146-145-145-145-145-132.2
Miami+115+125+128+122+125+125+128+132.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+1½-110-2½-108-2½-125-2½-114-2½-115-2½-114-2½-108-2½-104
Miami-1½-110+2½-108+2½+105+2½-106+2½-105+2½-106+2½+105+2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-2½-110-2½-110-2½-115-2½-120-2½-119-2½-110-2½-110-2½-104
Miami+2½-110+2½-110+2½-105+2½+100+2½-101+2½-110+2½+100+2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Miami: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Miami: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Miami: 20.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +1½-110 to +0-110
Miami Spread moved from +2½+102 to +2½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Miami: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Buffalo Spread
Miami Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o47½-108o47½-110o48-110o48-110o48-110o47½-108o48+100
Underu47½-110u47½-108u47½-110u48-110u48-110u48-110u47½-105u48+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48½-110o48-110o48-110o48-110o48-110o48-110o48-110o48+100
Underu48½-110u48-110u48-110u48-110u48-110u48-110u48-110u48+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-115 to o48-105
The Under moved from u47½-105 to u48-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-110 to o48½-110
The Under moved from u48½-110 to u48-110