Toronto at Tampa Bay

Updated

Toronto Maple Leafs

(46-26-10)
Rank10
P/G3.7
PA/G3.3
47.2%52.8%
Toronto WinTampa Bay Win
3.03Projected Goals 3.32
1Final Score 8

Tampa Bay Lightning

(45-29-8)
Rank12
P/G3.6
PA/G3.3
Rank10
P/G3.7
PA/G3.3
Rank12
P/G3.6
PA/G3.3

Goalies

Erik Kallgren

StartsRecordSV%GAA
96-3-10.8953.02

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
5935-18-50.9162.49

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Philadelphia FlyersPHI: Martin Jones • TOR: Jack Campbell-415
W 2-4 vs New York IslandersNYI: Ilya Sorokin • TOR: Jack Campbell-175
W 5-4 at Ottawa SenatorsTOR: Erik Kallgren • OTT: Anton Forsberg-245
W 3-7 vs Washington CapitalsWSH: Ilya Samsonov • TOR: Jack Campbell-185
L 5-2 vs Buffalo SabresBUF: Craig Anderson • TOR: Erik Kallgren-405
Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Thomas Greiss • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-465
W 4-7 vs Winnipeg JetsWPG: Connor Hellebuyck • TBL: Brian Elliott-225
W 3-4 vs Anaheim DucksANA: Anthony Stolarz • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-340
L 0-1 at Dallas StarsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • DAL: Scott Wedgewood-157
W 0-5 vs Buffalo SabresBUF: Craig Anderson • TBL: Brian Elliott-346

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • CAuston MatthewsOut
  • DRasmus SandinOut
  • GOPetr MrazekOut
  • DJake MuzzinOut
  • RWOndrej KaseOut

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • No Reported Injuries
Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+115+115+120+117+115+120+120+123.5
Tampa Bay-135-135-132-137-135-132-132-123.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+100+115+118+120+120+119+120+123.5
Tampa Bay-110-135-129-140-140-129-129-123.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +125 to +115
Tampa Bay ML moved from -134 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +102 to -107
Tampa Bay ML moved from -120 to -130

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-240+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-220+1½-210+1½-210+1½-192
Tampa Bay-1½+200-1½+175-1½+180-1½+175-1½+180-1½+180-1½+180-1½+192
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-235+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-192
Tampa Bay-1½+205-1½+180-1½+184-1½+180-1½+180-1½+185-1½+185-1½+192

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-105o7+110o6½-127o7+105o7+110o6½-127o6½-127o7+119
Underu6½-115u7-130u6½+115u7-125u7-130u6½+115u7-125u7-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-135o7+110o6½-135o6½-135o7+110o6½-130o6½-130o7+119
Underu6½+115u7-130u6½+115u6½+115u7-130u6½+110u7-130u7-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-120 to o7+110
The Under moved from u7-125 to u6½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-135 to o7-135
The Under moved from u7+115 to u7-130
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