Philadelphia at Buffalo

Updated
Rank26
P/G3.0
PA/G3.3
47.7%52.3%
Philadelphia WinBuffalo Win
2.89Projected Goals 3.13
3Final Score 5

Buffalo Sabres

(31-18-5)
Rank7
P/G3.4
PA/G3.0
Rank26
P/G3.0
PA/G3.3
Rank7
P/G3.4
PA/G3.0

Goalies

Samuel Ersson

StartsRecordSV%GAA
115-3-30.8702.96

Alex Lyon

StartsRecordSV%GAA
156-6-30.9052.99

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Flyers
Money Line
W 4-1 at Montreal CanadiensPHI: Daniel Vladař • MTL: Jacob Fowler+105
L 2-3 at Carolina HurricanesPHI: Daniel Vladař • CAR: Brandon Bussi+227
L 4-3 vs Carolina HurricanesCAR: Pyotr Kochetkov • PHI: Samuel Ersson+165
L 3-2 vs Vegas Golden KnightsVEG: Akira Schmid • PHI: Daniel Vladař+135
W 1-4 vs San Jose SharksSJS: Alex Nedeljkovic • PHI: Daniel Vladař-165
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
W 3-1 at Seattle KrakenBUF: Alex Lyon • SEA: Joey Daccord-128
W 3-2 at Vancouver CanucksBUF: Alex Lyon • VAN: Thatcher Demko-108
W 4-3 at Edmonton OilersBUF: Colten Ellis • EDM: Stuart Skinner+181
L 4-7 at Calgary FlamesBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • CGY: Dustin Wolf-103
L 1-4 at Winnipeg JetsBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • WPG: Eric Comrie+110

Injuries

Philadelphia Flyers

Status
  • CTyson FoersterIR

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • GOColten EllisIR
  • DConor TimminsProbable
  • LWJason ZuckerIR
  • DMichael KesselringProbable
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Philadelphia+116+127+127+118+125+118+127+124.8
Buffalo-131-145-147-134-145-134-134-124.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Philadelphia+115+120+124+125+115+126+126+124.8
Buffalo-135-140-138-145-135-136-135-124.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Philadelphia: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Philadelphia: 30.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Philadelphia: 30.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Philadelphia ML moved from +130 to +118
Buffalo ML moved from -139 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Philadelphia: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Philadelphia: 30.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Philadelphia: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Philadelphia ML moved from +120 to +112
Buffalo ML moved from -136 to -142

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Philadelphia+1½-220+1½-222+1½-195+1½-215+1½-200+1½-215+1½-195+1½-193
Buffalo-1½+186-1½+182-1½+165-1½+183-1½+170-1½+183-1½+183-1½+193
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Philadelphia+1½-215+1½-200+1½-200+1½-200+1½-215+1½-200+1½-200+1½-193
Buffalo-1½+180-1½+175-1½+175-1½+170-1½+180-1½+175-1½+180-1½+193

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-116o6+103o6½+117o6-101o6-110o6-101o6+103o6+106
Underu6+100u6-122u6½-138u6-115u6-110u6-115u6-110u6-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-120o6-115o6-105o6-120o6-110o6-110o6-105o6+106
Underu6+100u6-105u6-115u6+100u6-110u6-110u6+100u6-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-109 to o6-116
The Under moved from u6-108 to u6-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6+100 to u6-110