Toronto at Tampa Bay

Updated

Toronto Maple Leafs

(13-11-4)
Rank19
P/G3.4
PA/G3.3
40.1%59.9%
Toronto WinTampa Bay Win
2.58Projected Goals 3.59
4Final Score 3

Tampa Bay Lightning

(16-10-2)
Rank5
P/G3.1
PA/G2.6
Rank19
P/G3.4
PA/G3.3
Rank5
P/G3.1
PA/G2.6

Goalies

Anthony Stolarz

StartsRecordSV%GAA
3018-8-30.9222.26

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
6037-20-30.9222.14

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 1-3 at Florida PanthersTOR: Joseph Woll • FLA: Sergei Bobrovsky+145
W 0-5 vs Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ: Elvis Merzļikins • TOR: Anthony Stolarz-170
W 2-3 vs Florida PanthersFLA: Sergei Bobrovsky • TOR: Anthony Stolarz-120
W 3-2 at Anaheim DucksTOR: Joseph Woll • ANA: Lukáš Dostál-153
W 3-1 at Los Angeles KingsTOR: Anthony Stolarz • LAK: Darcy Kuemper+130
Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
W 5-1 at New York RangersTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • NYR: Igor Shesterkin-150
L 2-3 at Buffalo SabresTBL: Jonas Johansson • BUF: James Reimer-200
L 1-2 at Ottawa SenatorsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • OTT: Linus Ullmark-145
W 4-1 at New York IslandersTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • NYI: Ilya Sorokin-168
W 3-5 vs New York IslandersNYI: Ilya Sorokin • TBL: Jonas Johansson-190

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • CDavid KampfOut
  • DJake McCabeOut

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • LWJake GuentzelOut
Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+134+165+155+158+160+158+165+165.2
Tampa Bay-150-185-180-178-180-178-178-165.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+149+170+160+160+170+161+170+165.2
Tampa Bay-166-190-179-180-190-176-176-165.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +167 to +160
Tampa Bay ML moved from -185 to -195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 40.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +170 to +160
Tampa Bay ML moved from -180 to -200

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-190+1½-153+1½-160+1½-145+1½-160+1½-145+1½-145+1½-133
Tampa Bay-1½+163-1½+137-1½+135-1½+125-1½+140-1½+125-1½+140-1½+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-170+1½-150+1½-155+1½-145+1½-150+1½-155+1½-145+1½-133
Tampa Bay-1½+150-1½+130-1½+135-1½+125-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135-1½+133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo5½-130o6-108o6-108o6-105o6-110o6-105o6-105o6+103
Underu5½+110u6-108u6-112u6-111u6-110u6-111u6-108u6-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-110o6-110o6-110o6-110o6-110o6-110o6-110o6+103
Underu6-110u6-110u6-110u6-110u6-110u6-110u6-110u6-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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