Tampa Bay at Buffalo

Updated
Rank3
P/G4.3
PA/G3.5
71.9%28.1%
Tampa Bay WinBuffalo Win
3.63Projected Goals 2.17
6Final Score 1

Buffalo Sabres

(32-39-11)
Rank26
P/G2.8
PA/G3.5
Rank3
P/G4.3
PA/G3.5
Rank26
P/G2.8
PA/G3.5

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2819-6-30.9232.23

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

StartsRecordSV%GAA
82-4-20.9222.61

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
L 5-2 vs Boston BruinsBOS: Linus Ullmark • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-175
W 1-4 vs Calgary FlamesCGY: Daniel Vladar • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-198
W 7-2 at Columbus Blue JacketsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • CBJ: Joonas Korpisalo-222
L 0-4 at New York RangersTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • NYR: Igor Shesterkin-142
L 4-3 vs New York RangersNYR: Igor Shesterkin • TBL: Brian Elliott-110
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
L 3-2 vs San Jose SharksSJS: Adin Hill • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen+105
L 3-4 at Boston BruinsBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • BOS: Linus Ullmark+276
L 1-4 at New York IslandersBUF: Malcolm Subban • NYI: Semyon Varlamov+175
L 4-3 vs New Jersey DevilsNJD: MacKenzie Blackwood • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen+116
L 2-3 at Pittsburgh PenguinsBUF: Malcolm Subban • PIT: Tristan Jarry+294

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • DRyan McDonaghOut
  • DZach BogosianQuestionable
  • CRoss ColtonProbable

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • DCasey FitzgeraldOut
  • DRobert HaggOut
  • RWKyle OkposoQuestionable
  • LWAnders BjorkProbable
  • DJacob BrysonIR
  • CPeyton KrebsOut
  • GODustin TokarskiQuestionable
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+175-320-320-318-320-318-318-284.2
Buffalo-210+260+260+279+260+279+279+284.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-245-300-305-300-320-300-300-284.2
Buffalo+215+250+271+250+260+260+271+284.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -311 to -320
Buffalo ML moved from +248 to +235

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -310 to -345
Buffalo ML moved from +285 to +260

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-1½+100-1½-125-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-113
Buffalo+1½-120+1½+105+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+105+1½+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-1½+105-1½-115-1½-122-1½-110-1½-120-1½-115-1½-110-1½-113
Buffalo+1½-125+1½-105+1½+104+1½-110+1½+100+1½-105+1½+104+1½+113

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo5½-120o6-105o6-105o6+100o6-105o6+100o6+100o6+101
Underu5½+109u6-115u6-115u6-110u6-115u6-110u6-110u6-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-105o6-105o6-105o6+100o6-105o6+100o6+100o6+101
Underu6-115u6-115u6-115u6-120u6-115u6-120u6-115u6-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-110 to o6-117
The Under moved from u6+100 to u6-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-105 to o6-120
The Under moved from u6-105 to u6-115