Tampa Bay at Toronto

Updated

Tampa Bay Lightning

(45-29-8)
Rank11
P/G3.6
PA/G3.4
43.5%56.5%
Tampa Bay WinToronto Win
2.75Projected Goals 3.46
1Final Score 4

Toronto Maple Leafs

(46-26-10)
Rank4
P/G3.8
PA/G3.3
Rank11
P/G3.6
PA/G3.4
Rank4
P/G3.8
PA/G3.3

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2213-8-10.9152.55

Matt Murray

StartsRecordSV%GAA
117-2-20.9242.46

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
W 5-1 at Montreal CanadiensTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • MTL: Jake Allen-250
W 1-4 vs Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ: Daniil Tarasov • TBL: Brian Elliott-292
W 2-6 vs Seattle KrakenSEA: Philipp Grubauer • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-190
W 1-4 vs Florida PanthersFLA: Sergei Bobrovsky • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-140
W 2-5 vs Nashville PredatorsNSH: Juuse Saros • TBL: Brian Elliott-177
Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 2-5 at Washington CapitalsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • WSH: Charlie Lindgren-135
L 1-3 at New York RangersTOR: Matt Murray • NYR: Igor Shesterkin-115
W 0-7 vs Anaheim DucksANA: John Gibson • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-465
W 4-5 vs Calgary FlamesCGY: Daniel Vladar • TOR: Matt Murray-163
W 0-5 vs Los Angeles KingsLAK: Jonathan Quick • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-167

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • LWRudolfs BalcersIR
  • DMikhail SergachevQuestionable

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DJordie BennIR
  • DVictor MeteOut
  • LWNicholas RobertsonOut
  • DMorgan RiellyIR
  • CCalle JarnkrokProbable
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-105+120+120+123+120+123+123+128.3
Toronto-115-134-140-136-140-136-134-128.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+118+115+118+118+120+120+120+128.3
Toronto-140-135-129-140-140-130-129-128.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay ML
Toronto ML moved from -131 to -144

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +121 to +115
No Steam Moves On Toronto ML

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-245+1½-212+1½-220+1½-215+1½-220+1½-215+1½-212+1½-192
Toronto-1½+205-1½+188-1½+180-1½+185-1½+180-1½+185-1½+188-1½+192
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-210+1½-220+1½-220+1½-210+1½-215+1½-220+1½-215+1½-192
Toronto-1½+175-1½+190-1½+192-1½+175-1½+185-1½+195-1½+195-1½+192

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+100o6-118o6-120o6-106o6-125o6-106o6-106o6-114
Underu6½-120u6+102u6+100u6-104u6+105u6-104u6+105u6+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-115o6-120o6-115o6-120o6-120o6-120o6-115o6-114
Underu6-105u6+100u6-105u6+100u6+100u6+100u6+100u6+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-105 to o6-113
The Under moved from u6+102 to u6-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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