Pittsburgh at Buffalo

Updated

Pittsburgh Penguins

(38-32-12)
Rank18
P/G3.1
PA/G3.1
55.1%44.9%
Pittsburgh WinBuffalo Win
3.68Projected Goals 3.13
2Final Score 3

Buffalo Sabres

(39-37-6)
Rank15
P/G3.0
PA/G3.0
Rank18
P/G3.1
PA/G3.1
Rank15
P/G3.0
PA/G3.0

Goalies

Tristan Jarry

StartsRecordSV%GAA
146-8-00.9162.47

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

StartsRecordSV%GAA
74-3-10.9112.80

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Penguins
Money Line
L 1-0 vs New York RangersNYR: Jonathan Quick • PIT: Tristan Jarry-115
W 0-3 vs Vegas Golden KnightsVEG: Adin Hill • PIT: Alex Nedeljkovic+105
L 2-4 at Carolina HurricanesPIT: Tristan Jarry • CAR: Antti Raanta+145
L 5-2 vs New Jersey DevilsNJD: Vítek Vaněček • PIT: Tristan Jarry-152
W 5-3 at Columbus Blue JacketsPIT: Tristan Jarry • CBJ: Elvis Merzļikins-180
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
L 3-4 at Washington CapitalsBUF: Devon Levi • WSH: Darcy Kuemper+115
W 3-2 at Chicago BlackhawksBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • CHI: Petr Mrázek-175
L 2-3 at Winnipeg JetsBUF: Eric Comrie • WPG: Connor Hellebuyck+160
L 5-2 vs Boston BruinsBOS: Linus Ullmark • BUF: Devon Levi+135
L 0-4 at Pittsburgh PenguinsBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • PIT: Tristan Jarry+170

Injuries

Pittsburgh Penguins

Status
  • DChad RuhwedelOut
  • LWRickard RakellIR
  • GOAlex NedeljkovicUnknown
  • RWBryan RustQuestionable
  • DPierre-Olivier JosephOut

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • LWZach BensonProbable
  • RWTage ThompsonOut
  • LWJordan GreenwayOut
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh-110-122-128-124-125-124-122-116.2
Buffalo-110+106+107+110+105+110+110+116.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh-120-125-123-125-125-127-123-116.2
Buffalo-100+105+113+105+105+107+113+116.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pittsburgh: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh ML moved from -122 to -128
Buffalo ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pittsburgh: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh ML moved from -120 to -130
No Steam Moves On Buffalo ML

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+1½-245--1½+195-1½+195-1½+200-1½+195-1½+200-1½+204
Buffalo-1½+205-+1½-235+1½-225+1½-240+1½-225+1½-225+1½-204
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh-1½+210-1½+200-1½+191-1½+192-1½+200-1½+190-1½+200-1½+204
Buffalo+1½-260+1½-240+1½-217+1½-235+1½-240+1½-230+1½-217+1½-204

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-125o6½-133o6½-135o6½-130o6½-130o6½-130o6½-130o6½-120
Underu6½+105u6½+117u6½+115u6½+113u6½+110u6½+113u6½+117u6½+120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-125o6½-130o6½-130o6½-130o6½-125o6½-135o6½-125o6½-120
Underu6½+105u6½+110u6½+110u6½+110u6½+105u6½+115u6½+115u6½+120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-125 to o7+110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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