Tampa Bay at Toronto

Updated
Rank11
P/G3.6
PA/G3.3
43.4%56.6%
Tampa Bay WinToronto Win
2.74Projected Goals 3.45
2Final Score 7
Rank10
P/G3.7
PA/G3.2
Rank11
P/G3.6
PA/G3.3
Rank10
P/G3.7
PA/G3.2

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
6034-22-40.9152.65

Ilya Samsonov

StartsRecordSV%GAA
4027-10-50.9192.33

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
W 7-3 at Toronto Maple LeafsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov+140
W 0-5 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Ville Husso • TBL: Brian Elliott-228
L 4-3 vs Toronto Maple LeafsTOR: Joseph Woll • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-210
L 4-7 at Ottawa SenatorsTBL: Brian Elliott • OTT: Cam Talbot-130
L 1-6 at New York IslandersTBL: Brian Elliott • NYI: Ilya Sorokin+152
Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 7-3 vs Tampa Bay LightningTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-154
W 3-2 at New York RangersTOR: Joseph Woll • NYR: Jaroslav Halak+123
W 4-3 at Tampa Bay LightningTOR: Joseph Woll • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+197
W 2-1 at Florida PanthersTOR: Ilya Samsonov • FLA: Alex Lyon+131
W 1-7 vs Montreal CanadiensMTL: Sam Montembeault • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-350

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • DVictor HedmanOut
  • CMichael EyssimontOut
  • DErik CernakOut
  • LWTanner JeannotProbable

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DErik GustafssonQuestionable
  • LWMichael BuntingOut
  • GOMatt MurrayOut
  • CBobby McMannIR
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+140+172+165+173+160+173+173+179.8
Toronto-160-194-195-193-185-193-185-179.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+140+160+164+162+165+160+165+179.8
Toronto-165-180-181-195-185-180-180-179.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +163 to +154
Toronto ML moved from -185 to -195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +153 to +143
Toronto ML moved from -174 to -180

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-205+1½-188+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-162
Toronto-1½+175-1½+167-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+167-1½+162
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-195+1½-175+1½-175+1½-180+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-162
Toronto-1½+162-1½+155-1½+155-1½+152-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-115o6½+102o6½+105o6-111o6-120o6-111o6-111o6-106
Underu6+104u6½-118u6½-125u6+101u6+100u6+101u6½-118u6+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-110o6-120o6-115o6-130o6-120o6-120o6-115o6-106
Underu6-110u6+100u6-105u6+110u6+100u6+100u6+110u6+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6+109 to u6-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-110 to o6-120
No Steam Moves On Under