Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bryne
Sarpsborg 08		8.7%
75.8%		15.5%
+339
-132

1
1		-1.46933-1.86291
Tromso
HamKam		45.1%
30.1%		24.8%
+121
+236

3
1		-0.82819-0.79711
Molde
Valerenga		38.7%
35.6%		25.7%
+130
+203

3
2		-0.86391-0.94874
Brann
Bodo/Glimt		21.9%
56.6%		21.6%
+500
-219

0
3		-0.42681-0.56973
Viking
Molde		25.9%
52.2%		21.9%
+140
+170

1
0		-0.92118-1.35016
Sandefjord
Bryne		49.3%
25.4%		25.2%
+176
+150

2
3		-0.95935-1.36995
Bodo/Glimt
Haugesund		73.7%
10.9%		15.3%
-476
+1206

4
0		-0.22987-0.30499
KFUM Oslo
Rosenborg		12.4%
69.5%		18.1%
+462
-165

1
1		-1.44511-1.70882
Kristiansund
Brann		11.6%
71.9%		16.5%
+632
-256

2
4		-0.36788-0.32998
Sarpsborg 08
Fredrikstad		24.1%
50.6%		25.3%
+240
+117

1
1		-1.28222-1.37342
Valerenga
Tromso		21.7%
54.6%		23.7%
+338
-125

1
2		-0.63241-0.60461
HamKam
Stromsgodset		21.0%
58.1%		20.9%
+296
-121

3
0		-1.42209-1.56079
Molde
Brann		29.1%
46.7%		24.3%
+328
-130

3
0		-1.49933-1.23564
Viking
Bodo/Glimt		15.2%
67.8%		17.0%
+635
-278

4
2		-2.04361-1.88223
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad		35.8%
36.5%		27.7%
+160
+180

2
0		-0.99669-1.02764
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo		31.4%
41.2%		27.3%
+230
+140

1
0		-1.22561-1.15798
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31722 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81130
0.50592

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.