Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brann
Haugesund		56.1%
21.1%		22.8%
-250
+611

2
0		-0.38264-0.57780
Stromsgodset
Sandefjord		31.4%
43.0%		25.6%
+236
+110

2
3		-0.77171-0.84502
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08		30.3%
42.9%		26.8%
+220
+130

1
0		-1.19882-1.19260
Viking
Kristiansund		51.9%
25.7%		22.4%
-150
+350

1
0		-0.55431-0.65649
Molde
HamKam		51.9%
26.1%		21.9%
-127
+335

1
2		-1.51181-1.34147
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt		14.9%
67.5%		17.6%
+387
-160

0
4		-0.53190-0.39288
Fredrikstad
Bryne		57.8%
18.4%		23.8%
+178
+170

3
4		-1.03496-1.69293
HamKam
Valerenga		20.9%
58.0%		21.0%
+453
-172

1
1		-1.50332-1.55870
Bryne
Stromsgodset		8.9%
75.6%		15.5%
+405
-154

2
0		-1.66094-2.41710
Bodo/Glimt
Tromso		51.6%
25.1%		23.3%
-143
+360

1
2		-1.56911-1.38350
Haugesund
Rosenborg		8.3%
77.8%		13.8%
+1450
-625

0
1		-0.19441-0.25084
Kristiansund
Molde		10.2%
75.3%		14.5%
+644
-250

1
0		-2.04709-2.28298
Sarpsborg 08
Brann		17.0%
62.3%		20.8%
+333
-130

2
2		-1.45955-1.57200
Sandefjord
Viking		12.0%
72.2%		15.8%
+389
-156

1
3		-0.53030-0.32522
KFUM Oslo
Fredrikstad		18.8%
57.1%		24.1%
+367
-105

0
1		-0.71980-0.55965
Viking
Haugesund		59.4%
19.9%		20.7%
-180
+427

4
1		-0.47989-0.52089
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31722 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81130
0.50592

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.