Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Stromsgodset
Molde		18.7%
61.0%		20.3%
+585
-244

1
4		-0.38998-0.49477
Brann
KFUM Oslo		52.6%
22.8%		24.6%
+164
+174

0
2		-1.04103-1.47929
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08		37.2%
36.0%		26.7%
+171
+150

2
2		-1.31845-1.31871
Bodo/Glimt
Fredrikstad		59.5%
19.2%		21.3%
-161
+390

1
0		-0.52777-0.51961
Viking
Brann		24.3%
53.3%		22.4%
+207
+124

1
3		-0.84118-0.62968
Tromso
Stromsgodset		34.9%
37.7%		27.5%
+102
+259

3
2		-0.74604-1.05377
HamKam
Rosenborg		11.7%
73.0%		15.3%
+560
-205

0
2		-0.43753-0.31464
KFUM Oslo
Haugesund		44.0%
29.1%		26.9%
-122
+365

2
0		-0.64466-0.82100
Sarpsborg 08
Kristiansund		41.5%
32.5%		26.0%
+130
+177

0
0		-1.40601-1.34696
Valerenga
Bryne		49.1%
25.4%		25.6%
+168
+157

0
1		-0.98687-1.37223
Molde
Fredrikstad		31.0%
43.1%		25.9%
+180
+159

2
4		-0.99255-0.84223
Sandefjord
Bodo/Glimt		6.7%
82.1%		11.2%
+764
-348

0
2		-0.30021-0.19688
Haugesund
Sarpsborg 08		9.6%
74.9%		15.5%
+630
-250

1
3		-0.37195-0.28883
Bryne
KFUM Oslo		12.1%
68.4%		19.6%
+387
-130

1
1		-1.34435-1.63184
Rosenborg
Sandefjord		39.7%
34.4%		25.9%
+205
+120

0
2		-0.83637-1.06610
Molde
Tromso		26.6%
49.2%		24.2%
+196
+140

0
1		-0.91647-0.70999
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31722 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81130
0.50592

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.