Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bodo/Glimt
Kristiansund		76.6%
9.6%		13.8%
-222
+509

1
1		-1.70915-1.97985
Fredrikstad
Valerenga		32.4%
39.9%		27.6%
+259
+110

1
1		-1.32306-1.28688
Stromsgodset
Viking		12.6%
71.2%		16.2%
+882
-385

0
1		-0.27294-0.34027
Brann
HamKam		57.0%
21.7%		21.3%
-110
+281

1
1		-1.38717-1.54764
Sandefjord
Brann		10.2%
74.3%		15.5%
+360
-154

0
1		-0.54526-0.29727
Valerenga
Stromsgodset		20.0%
58.0%		22.0%
+140
+184

2
0		-0.90892-1.60839
Sarpsborg 08
Bodo/Glimt		7.3%
80.5%		12.1%
+900
-417

2
1		-2.34581-2.61210
HamKam
Bryne		43.5%
31.0%		25.5%
+305
-118

1
1		-1.40462-1.36763
KFUM Oslo
Molde		19.3%
59.1%		21.6%
+295
-105

3
2		-1.42047-1.64362
Tromso
Fredrikstad		27.9%
44.6%		27.4%
+210
+150

1
0		-1.16123-1.27540
Kristiansund
Haugesund		36.6%
36.6%		26.7%
+110
+222

0
0		-1.39352-1.32039
Viking
Rosenborg		32.8%
43.0%		24.2%
+176
+145

1
1		-1.34627-1.42006
Fredrikstad
Viking		17.2%
62.7%		20.1%
+532
-200

0
3		-0.44463-0.46662
Rosenborg
Kristiansund		53.0%
24.1%		22.9%
+111
+230

1
4		-1.22997-1.42371
Haugesund
Sandefjord		8.8%
76.7%		14.5%
+688
-278

0
4		-0.35049-0.26537
Stromsgodset
KFUM Oslo		30.0%
43.2%		26.8%
+332
-125

0
5		-0.62414-0.84005
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31722 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81130
0.50592

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.