Rio Ave at Nacional

Updated

Rio Ave

26.1%26.5%47.4%
Rio Ave WinDrawNacional Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.45
0Final Score 4

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Rio Ave
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Benfica+825
W 1-3 vs Casa Pia AC+135
L 0-4 at Sporting CP+1900
T 2-2 at Gil Vicente FC+435
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+205
Nacional
Money Line
L 1-2 at Gil Vicente FC+400
T 3-3 vs Santa Clara+180
L 1-2 at Vitoria+330
T 2-2 at AVS+165
W 1-3 vs Tondela+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rio Ave+225-+280+280-+280+280+299.1
Nacional+121--110-107--107-107+103.2
Draw+230-+260+270-+270+270+288.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rio Ave+235----+285+285+299.1
Nacional+120-----105-105+103.2
Draw+235----+260+260+288.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rio Ave: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rio Ave: 10.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Rio Ave: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rio Ave: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rio Ave ML moved from +290 to +280
Nacional ML moved from +100 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rio Ave: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rio Ave: 10.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Rio Ave: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rio Ave: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Rio Ave ML
Nacional ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102-o2¾+100o2¾+103-o2¾+103o2¾+103o2¾+112
Underu2½-118-u2¾-120u2¾-123-u2¾-123u2¾-120u2¾-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+112
Under-----u2¾-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.60%
Exactly 225.88%
Exactly 412.99%
Exactly 62.61%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.10%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 56.37%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - Rio Ave
Exactly 036.65%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.46%
Exactly 36.18%
Exactly 41.55%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 023.46%
Exactly 134.01%
Exactly 224.66%
Exactly 311.92%
Exactly 44.32%
Exactly 51.25%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.11%
Exactly 220.72%
Exactly 42.23%
 
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 37.85%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rio Ave
Exactly 062.83%
Exactly 129.20%
Exactly 26.78%
Exactly 31.05%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 051.10%
Exactly 134.31%
Exactly 211.52%
Exactly 32.58%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Rio Ave
Wins by 2+ goals9.45%
Wins by 3+ goals2.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals23.29%
Wins by 3+ goals8.99%
Wins by 4+ goals2.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.68%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Rio Ave
Nacional
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Rio Ave
Wins by 1 goal16.63%
Wins by 2 goals6.85%
Wins by 3 goals2.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal24.03%
Wins by 2 goals14.30%
Wins by 3 goals6.21%
Wins by 4 goals2.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.57%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.40%8.60%
1.570.31%29.69%
2.544.43%55.57%
3.523.26%76.74%
4.510.27%89.73%
5.53.90%96.10%
6.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Rio Ave Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.35%36.65%
1.526.56%73.44%
2.58.10%91.90%
3.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.54%23.46%
1.542.53%57.47%
2.517.87%82.13%
3.55.95%94.05%
4.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.89%32.11%
1.531.42%68.58%
2.510.70%89.30%
3.52.85%97.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Rio Ave
Nacional
Score012345
0
8.60%
12.47%
9.04%
4.37%
1.58%
0.46%
1
8.63%
12.51%
9.07%
4.38%
1.59%
0.46%
2
4.33%
6.28%
4.55%
2.20%
0.80%
0.23%
3
1.45%
2.10%
1.52%
0.74%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.36%
0.53%
0.38%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Rio Ave
1-08.63%
2-04.33%
2-16.28%
3-01.45%
3-12.10%
3-21.52%
4-00.36%
4-10.53%
4-20.38%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.60%
1-112.51%
2-24.55%
3-30.74%
Nacional
0-112.47%
0-29.04%
1-29.07%
0-34.37%
1-34.38%
2-32.20%
0-41.58%
1-41.59%
2-40.80%
3-40.27%
0-50.46%
1-50.46%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Rio Ave
Nacional
Score01234
0
32.11%
21.56%
7.24%
1.62%
0.27%
1
14.92%
10.02%
3.36%
0.75%
0.13%
2
3.47%
2.33%
0.78%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.54%
0.36%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Rio Ave
1-014.92%
2-03.47%
2-12.33%
3-00.54%
3-10.36%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-032.11%
1-110.02%
2-20.78%
Nacional
0-121.56%
0-27.24%
1-23.36%
0-31.62%
1-30.75%
2-30.17%
0-40.27%
1-40.13%
Vitória at Estoril
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