Tondela at Benfica

Updated

Tondela

9.6%7.6%82.7%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.36Projected Goals 3.13
1Final Score 2

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Tondela
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Portimonense+180
L 1-2 at FC Vizela+200
W 0-3 vs Santa Clara+215
L 3-2 vs Pacos+190
L 0-1 at SC Farense+550
Benfica
Money Line
W 2-0 at Gil Vicente FC-150
W 0-2 vs Arouca-500
W 2-1 at Moreirense-275
W 3-1 at Vitoria+110
W 3-4 vs Sporting CP-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+1100-+2100+1600+1613+1600+2100-
Benfica-425--1000-1111-665-1111-665-
Draw+475-+875+900+656+900+900-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+1475----+2500+2500-
Benfica-525-----950-950-
Draw+575----+850+850-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +1500 to +1400
Benfica ML moved from -1000 to -1111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tondela ML
Benfica ML moved from -825 to -950

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115-o3¾-115o3¾-114-o3¾-114o3¾-114-
Underu2¾-105-u3¾-105u3¾-106-u3¾-106u3¾-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-120 to o3¼+100
The Under moved from u3¼-120 to u3-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes29.2%
 
No70.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.04%
Exactly 218.56%
Exactly 418.86%
Exactly 67.67%
Exactly 81.67%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.63%
Exactly 321.60%
Exactly 513.17%
Exactly 73.82%
Exactly 90.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 069.44%
Exactly 125.32%
Exactly 24.62%
Exactly 30.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 04.38%
Exactly 113.71%
Exactly 221.44%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 417.47%
Exactly 510.93%
Exactly 65.70%
Exactly 72.54%
Exactly 80.99%
Exactly 90.35%
Exactly 100.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.85%
Exactly 225.95%
Exactly 45.65%
Exactly 60.49%
 
Exactly 132.10%
Exactly 313.98%
Exactly 51.83%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 084.46%
Exactly 114.26%
Exactly 21.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 023.51%
Exactly 134.03%
Exactly 224.64%
Exactly 311.89%
Exactly 44.30%
Exactly 51.25%
Exactly 60.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals0.30%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals74.03%
Wins by 3+ goals52.62%
Wins by 4+ goals32.14%
Wins by 5+ goals16.96%
Wins by 6+ goals7.81%
Wins by 7+ goals3.16%
Wins by 8+ goals1.13%
Wins by 9+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Tondela
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal1.86%
Wins by 2 goals0.28%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal16.08%
Wins by 2 goals21.41%
Wins by 3 goals20.48%
Wins by 4 goals15.18%
Wins by 5 goals9.15%
Wins by 6 goals4.65%
Wins by 7 goals2.04%
Wins by 8 goals0.78%
Wins by 9 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.96%3.04%
1.586.33%13.67%
2.567.77%32.23%
3.546.16%53.84%
4.527.30%72.70%
5.514.13%85.87%
6.56.47%93.53%
7.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.530.56%69.44%
1.55.23%94.77%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.62%4.38%
1.581.91%18.09%
2.560.47%39.53%
3.538.13%61.87%
4.520.66%79.34%
5.59.73%90.27%
6.54.03%95.97%
7.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.15%19.85%
1.548.05%51.95%
2.522.10%77.90%
3.58.11%91.89%
4.52.46%97.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tondela
Benfica
Score01234
0
3.04%
9.52%
14.89%
15.52%
12.13%
1
1.11%
3.47%
5.43%
5.66%
4.42%
2
0.20%
0.63%
0.99%
1.03%
0.81%
Tondela
1-01.11%
2-00.20%
2-10.63%
Draw
0-03.04%
1-13.47%
2-20.99%
3-30.13%
Benfica
0-19.52%
0-214.89%
1-25.43%
0-315.52%
1-35.66%
2-31.03%
0-412.13%
1-44.42%
2-40.81%

Correct Score - First Half

Tondela
Benfica
Score0123456
0
19.85%
28.75%
20.81%
10.05%
3.64%
1.05%
0.25%
1
3.35%
4.85%
3.51%
1.70%
0.61%
0.18%
0.04%
2
0.28%
0.41%
0.30%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Tondela
1-03.35%
2-00.28%
2-10.41%
Draw
0-019.85%
1-14.85%
2-20.30%
Benfica
0-128.75%
0-220.81%
1-23.51%
0-310.05%
1-31.70%
2-30.14%
0-43.64%
1-40.61%
0-51.05%
1-50.18%
0-60.25%