Arouca at Benfica

Updated

Arouca

10.4%8.1%81.5%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.40Projected Goals 3.09
0Final Score 2

Benfica

Last Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Estoril+125
Benfica
Money Line
W 2-1 at Moreirense-275
W 3-1 at Vitoria+110
W 3-4 vs Sporting CP-110
W 3-1 at Nacional-270
T 1-1 vs Porto+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1000-+1100+840+1163+840+1163-
Benfica-375--425-455-457-455-425-
Draw+450-+500+540+524+540+540-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1925----+1500+1500-
Benfica-700-----500-500-
Draw+650----+550+550-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1188 to +1163
Benfica ML moved from -458 to -479

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1700 to +1450
Benfica ML moved from -475 to -500

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105-o3+100o3+105-o3+105o3+105-
Underu2¾-115-u3-120u3-125-u3-125u3-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes31.1%
 
No68.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.06%
Exactly 218.61%
Exactly 418.84%
Exactly 67.63%
Exactly 81.66%
Exactly 100.22%
 
Exactly 110.68%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 513.14%
Exactly 73.80%
Exactly 90.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 067.43%
Exactly 126.57%
Exactly 25.24%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 04.54%
Exactly 114.04%
Exactly 221.71%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 417.29%
Exactly 510.69%
Exactly 65.51%
Exactly 72.43%
Exactly 80.94%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.91%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 45.63%
Exactly 60.49%
 
Exactly 132.13%
Exactly 313.95%
Exactly 51.82%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 083.32%
Exactly 115.20%
Exactly 21.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 023.89%
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 311.68%
Exactly 44.18%
Exactly 51.20%
Exactly 60.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals0.37%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals72.72%
Wins by 3+ goals51.16%
Wins by 4+ goals30.88%
Wins by 5+ goals16.07%
Wins by 6+ goals7.26%
Wins by 7+ goals2.85%
Wins by 8+ goals0.94%
Wins by 9+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal2.09%
Wins by 2 goals0.33%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal16.53%
Wins by 2 goals21.56%
Wins by 3 goals20.28%
Wins by 4 goals14.81%
Wins by 5 goals8.81%
Wins by 6 goals4.41%
Wins by 7 goals1.91%
Wins by 8 goals0.72%
Wins by 9 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.94%3.06%
1.586.26%13.74%
2.567.65%32.35%
3.546.03%53.97%
4.527.19%72.81%
5.514.05%85.95%
6.56.42%93.58%
7.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.532.57%67.43%
1.56.00%94.00%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.46%4.54%
1.581.42%18.58%
2.559.71%40.29%
3.537.33%62.67%
4.520.04%79.96%
5.59.35%90.65%
6.53.84%96.16%
7.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.09%19.91%
1.547.96%52.04%
2.522.03%77.97%
3.58.08%91.92%
4.52.45%97.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Benfica
Score012345
0
3.06%
9.47%
14.64%
15.09%
11.66%
7.21%
1
1.21%
3.73%
5.77%
5.95%
4.60%
2.84%
2
0.24%
0.74%
1.14%
1.17%
0.91%
0.56%
Arouca
1-01.21%
2-00.24%
2-10.74%
Draw
0-03.06%
1-13.73%
2-21.14%
3-30.15%
Benfica
0-19.47%
0-214.64%
1-25.77%
0-315.09%
1-35.95%
2-31.17%
0-411.66%
1-44.60%
2-40.91%
3-40.12%
0-57.21%
1-52.84%
2-50.56%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Benfica
Score0123456
0
19.91%
28.50%
20.40%
9.73%
3.48%
1.00%
0.24%
1
3.63%
5.20%
3.72%
1.78%
0.64%
0.18%
0.04%
2
0.33%
0.47%
0.34%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-03.63%
2-00.33%
2-10.47%
Draw
0-019.91%
1-15.20%
2-20.34%
Benfica
0-128.50%
0-220.40%
1-23.72%
0-39.73%
1-31.78%
2-30.16%
0-43.48%
1-40.64%
0-51.00%
1-50.18%
0-60.24%