Marítimo at Estoril

Updated

Maritimo

27.6%29.2%43.1%
Marítimo WinDrawEstoril Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.22
1Final Score 3

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Maritimo
Money Line
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela-135
L 1-2 at Sporting CP+1500
T 2-2 vs Rio Ave+105
L 2-1 vs Vitoria+140
L 2-3 at Famalicao+265
Estoril
Money Line
T 2-2 at Casa Pia AC+255
W 0-2 vs Arouca+160
L 0-1 at Boavista+265
W 0-3 vs Santa Clara+110
L 0-1 at Benfica+1900

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marítimo+307+233+215+240+239+240+240+256.7
Estoril-103+119+115+115+119+115+119+125.6
Draw+248+254+260+245+258+245+260+261.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marítimo+220----+190+190+256.7
Estoril+125----+140+140+125.6
Draw+240----+245+245+261.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marítimo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marítimo: 10.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marítimo: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marítimo ML moved from +251 to +244
Estoril ML moved from +130 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marítimo: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Estoril: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marítimo: 0.0%
Estoril: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marítimo: 0.0%
Estoril: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marítimo ML moved from +215 to +190
Estoril ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+108o2½-118o2½-118o2½-125o2½-116o2½-125o2½-116o2½-114
Underu2½-128u2½+100u2½-102u2½+105u2½+101u2½+105u2½+105u2½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-114
Under-----u2½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-115 to o2½-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.2%
 
No57.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.86%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 410.21%
Exactly 61.55%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.29%
Exactly 319.15%
Exactly 54.35%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Maritimo
Exactly 040.13%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 216.73%
Exactly 35.09%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 029.56%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 221.95%
Exactly 38.92%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.27%
Exactly 218.15%
Exactly 41.47%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Maritimo
Exactly 065.52%
Exactly 127.70%
Exactly 25.86%
Exactly 30.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 056.88%
Exactly 132.09%
Exactly 29.06%
Exactly 31.70%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Maritimo
Wins by 2+ goals9.51%
Wins by 3+ goals2.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals18.98%
Wins by 3+ goals6.42%
Wins by 4+ goals1.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Maritimo
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Maritimo
Wins by 1 goal18.09%
Wins by 2 goals7.05%
Wins by 3 goals1.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal24.14%
Wins by 2 goals12.57%
Wins by 3 goals4.69%
Wins by 4 goals1.36%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.14%11.86%
1.562.85%37.15%
2.535.90%64.10%
3.516.74%83.26%
4.56.53%93.47%
5.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals Maritimo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.87%40.13%
1.523.23%76.77%
2.56.50%93.50%
3.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.44%29.56%
1.534.41%65.59%
2.512.46%87.54%
3.53.54%96.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.73%37.27%
1.525.95%74.05%
2.57.79%92.21%
3.51.82%98.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Marítimo
Estoril
Score012345
0
11.86%
14.46%
8.81%
3.58%
1.09%
0.27%
1
10.83%
13.20%
8.04%
3.27%
1.00%
0.24%
2
4.95%
6.03%
3.67%
1.49%
0.45%
0.11%
3
1.51%
1.83%
1.12%
0.45%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.34%
0.42%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Maritimo
1-010.83%
2-04.95%
2-16.03%
3-01.51%
3-11.83%
3-21.12%
4-00.34%
4-10.42%
4-20.26%
4-30.10%
Draw
0-011.86%
1-113.20%
2-23.67%
3-30.45%
Estoril
0-114.46%
0-28.81%
1-28.04%
0-33.58%
1-33.27%
2-31.49%
0-41.09%
1-41.00%
2-40.45%
3-40.14%
0-50.27%
1-50.24%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Marítimo
Estoril
Score01234
0
37.27%
21.03%
5.93%
1.12%
0.16%
1
15.76%
8.89%
2.51%
0.47%
0.07%
2
3.33%
1.88%
0.53%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.47%
0.26%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Maritimo
1-015.76%
2-03.33%
2-11.88%
3-00.47%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-037.27%
1-18.89%
2-20.53%
Estoril
0-121.03%
0-25.93%
1-22.51%
0-31.12%
1-30.47%
0-40.16%