Tondela at Estoril

Updated

Tondela

13.2%12.5%74.3%
WinDrawEstoril Win
0.46Projected Goals 2.56
0Final Score 1

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Tondela
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Benfica+810
W 2-1 at Portimonense+240
L 3-2 vs FC Vizela+165
T 2-2 at Santa Clara+400
T 1-1 at Boavista+290
Estoril
Money Line
T 0-0 at Maritimo+210
T 0-0 vs Pacos+105
L 2-1 vs Arouca+100
L 1-3 at Vitoria+275
L 3-2 vs Porto

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+231+300+290+324+284+290+324+329.6
Estoril+107-105-110-101-107-110-101+105.5
Draw+264+220+220+247+254+220+254+256.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+275----+300+300+329.6
Estoril+100-----105-105+105.5
Draw+250----+245+245+256.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 0.0%
Estoril: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 30.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +281 to +270
Estoril ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 0.0%
Estoril: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 10.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tondela ML
Estoril ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2¼-125o2½+102o2½+105-o2½+102o2¼-125o2½+109
Underu2¾-118u2¼+105u2½-122u2½-120-u2½-122u2½-120u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes33.8%
 
No66.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.88%
Exactly 222.25%
Exactly 416.92%
Exactly 65.14%
Exactly 80.84%
 
Exactly 114.74%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.22%
Exactly 72.22%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 063.38%
Exactly 128.90%
Exactly 26.59%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 07.70%
Exactly 119.74%
Exactly 225.31%
Exactly 321.63%
Exactly 413.87%
Exactly 57.11%
Exactly 63.04%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 80.36%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.70%
Exactly 224.15%
Exactly 43.94%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.54%
Exactly 311.26%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 080.97%
Exactly 117.09%
Exactly 21.80%
Exactly 30.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 030.51%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 221.50%
Exactly 38.51%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals0.84%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals61.43%
Wins by 3+ goals38.15%
Wins by 4+ goals19.93%
Wins by 5+ goals8.87%
Wins by 6+ goals3.41%
Wins by 7+ goals1.14%
Wins by 8+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Tondela
Estoril
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal3.80%
Wins by 2 goals0.73%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal21.40%
Wins by 2 goals23.28%
Wins by 3 goals18.22%
Wins by 4 goals11.06%
Wins by 5 goals5.46%
Wins by 6 goals2.27%
Wins by 7 goals0.82%
Wins by 8 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.12%4.88%
1.580.39%19.61%
2.558.13%41.87%
3.535.73%64.27%
4.518.82%81.18%
5.58.60%91.40%
6.53.45%96.55%
7.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.536.62%63.38%
1.57.72%92.28%
2.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.30%7.70%
1.572.56%27.44%
2.547.26%52.74%
3.525.63%74.37%
4.511.76%88.24%
5.54.65%95.35%
6.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.30%24.70%
1.540.76%59.24%
2.516.61%83.39%
3.55.35%94.65%
4.51.42%98.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tondela
Estoril
Score012345
0
4.88%
12.51%
16.04%
13.71%
8.79%
4.51%
1
2.22%
5.70%
7.31%
6.25%
4.01%
2.06%
2
0.51%
1.30%
1.67%
1.43%
0.91%
0.47%
Tondela
1-02.22%
2-00.51%
2-11.30%
Draw
0-04.88%
1-15.70%
2-21.67%
3-30.22%
Estoril
0-112.51%
0-216.04%
1-27.31%
0-313.71%
1-36.25%
2-31.43%
0-48.79%
1-44.01%
2-40.91%
3-40.14%
0-54.51%
1-52.06%
2-50.47%

Correct Score - First Half

Tondela
Estoril
Score012345
0
24.70%
29.33%
17.41%
6.89%
2.04%
0.49%
1
5.21%
6.19%
3.68%
1.45%
0.43%
0.10%
2
0.55%
0.65%
0.39%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Tondela
1-05.21%
2-00.55%
2-10.65%
Draw
0-024.70%
1-16.19%
2-20.39%
Estoril
0-129.33%
0-217.41%
1-23.68%
0-36.89%
1-31.45%
2-30.15%
0-42.04%
1-40.43%
0-50.49%
1-50.10%