Arouca at Vitória

Updated

Arouca

13.3%21.1%65.6%
WinDrawVitória Win
0.72Projected Goals 1.91
1Final Score 2

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Benfica+675
W 4-1 at Estrela+165
W 0-3 vs Gil Vicente FC-105
T 2-2 vs Rio Ave+110
W 4-0 at Boavista+210
Vitoria
Money Line
T 1-1 at Braga+410
W 0-1 vs Rio Ave-145
T 1-1 at Boavista+110
W 2-3 vs Sporting CP+390
W 2-1 at SC Farense+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+340+283+275+290+296+290+296+309.6
Vitória-120+101-105-105-106-105+101+105.1
Draw+250+256+265+255+265+255+265+272.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+310----+360+360+309.6
Vitória-110-----120-120+105.1
Draw+255----+250+250+272.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Vitória: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +292 to +283
Vitória ML moved from -105 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Vitória: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 80.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arouca ML
No Steam Moves On Vitória ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-108o2½-105o2½-105o2½-103o2½-105o2½-103o2½+104
Underu2½-110u2½-110u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115u2½-110u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.8%
 
No56.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.19%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 414.39%
Exactly 63.32%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.92%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 57.58%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 048.66%
Exactly 135.05%
Exactly 212.62%
Exactly 33.03%
Exactly 40.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 014.77%
Exactly 128.25%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 317.22%
Exactly 48.23%
Exactly 53.15%
Exactly 61.00%
Exactly 70.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.55%
Exactly 221.96%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 38.92%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 071.64%
Exactly 123.89%
Exactly 23.98%
Exactly 30.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 041.25%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.17%
Exactly 34.77%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals3.55%
Wins by 3+ goals0.68%
Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals39.90%
Wins by 3+ goals19.58%
Wins by 4+ goals7.88%
Wins by 5+ goals2.64%
Wins by 6+ goals0.72%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Vitoria
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal9.66%
Wins by 2 goals2.87%
Wins by 3 goals0.60%
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal25.66%
Wins by 2 goals20.32%
Wins by 3 goals11.69%
Wins by 4 goals5.25%
Wins by 5 goals1.92%
Wins by 6 goals0.58%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.81%7.19%
1.573.89%26.11%
2.548.98%51.02%
3.527.11%72.89%
4.512.72%87.28%
5.55.15%94.85%
6.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.34%48.66%
1.516.29%83.71%
2.53.67%96.33%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.23%14.77%
1.556.98%43.02%
2.529.96%70.04%
3.512.74%87.26%
4.54.51%95.49%
5.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.45%29.55%
1.534.42%65.58%
2.512.46%87.54%
3.53.54%96.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Vitoria
Score012345
0
7.19%
13.75%
13.15%
8.38%
4.01%
1.53%
1
5.18%
9.90%
9.47%
6.04%
2.89%
1.10%
2
1.86%
3.57%
3.41%
2.17%
1.04%
0.40%
3
0.45%
0.86%
0.82%
0.52%
0.25%
0.10%
Arouca
1-05.18%
2-01.86%
2-13.57%
3-00.45%
3-10.86%
3-20.82%
Draw
0-07.19%
1-19.90%
2-23.41%
3-30.52%
Vitoria
0-113.75%
0-213.15%
1-29.47%
0-38.38%
1-36.04%
2-32.17%
0-44.01%
1-42.89%
2-41.04%
3-40.25%
0-51.53%
1-51.10%
2-50.40%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Vitoria
Score012345
0
29.55%
26.17%
11.59%
3.42%
0.76%
0.13%
1
9.86%
8.73%
3.86%
1.14%
0.25%
0.04%
2
1.64%
1.46%
0.64%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.18%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Arouca
1-09.86%
2-01.64%
2-11.46%
3-00.18%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-029.55%
1-18.73%
2-20.64%
Vitoria
0-126.17%
0-211.59%
1-23.86%
0-33.42%
1-31.14%
2-30.19%
0-40.76%
1-40.25%
0-50.13%
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