Belenenses at Estoril

Updated

Belenenses

16.4%24.7%58.9%
WinDrawEstoril Win
0.71Projected Goals 1.61
2Final Score 2

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Belenenses
Money Line
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela+295
L 1-3 at Benfica+850
W 0-2 vs Portimonense+245
T 0-0 at Santa Clara+700
T 0-0 vs Boavista+285
Estoril
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Braga+245
L 0-2 at Santa Clara+250
L 2-1 vs FC Vizela+120
L 1-2 at Benfica+850
W 0-2 vs Portimonense+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belenenses+450+290+275+318+301+250+318+328.9
Estoril-145+110+108+109+105+108+110+114.5
Draw+240+200+220+223+211+215+223+232.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belenenses+425----+330+330+328.9
Estoril-130-----105-105+114.5
Draw+235----+225+225+232.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belenenses: 0.0%
Estoril: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belenenses: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Belenenses ML moved from +300 to +290
Estoril ML moved from +105 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belenenses: 0.0%
Estoril: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belenenses: 10.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Belenenses ML moved from +365 to +330
No Steam Moves On Estoril ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2¼+105o2¼+102o2-131-o2¼+102o2-131o2¼+114
Underu2¼-115u2¼-125u2¼-122u2+116-u2¼-122u2¼-122u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.8%
 
No59.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.81%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 411.88%
Exactly 62.14%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.77%
Exactly 320.47%
Exactly 55.52%
Exactly 70.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 048.98%
Exactly 134.96%
Exactly 212.48%
Exactly 32.97%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 020.02%
Exactly 132.20%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 313.89%
Exactly 45.58%
Exactly 51.80%
Exactly 60.48%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.12%
Exactly 219.72%
Exactly 41.90%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.07%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 071.86%
Exactly 123.75%
Exactly 23.92%
Exactly 30.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 047.49%
Exactly 135.36%
Exactly 213.17%
Exactly 33.27%
Exactly 40.61%

Alternate Props

Spread

Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals4.46%
Wins by 3+ goals0.87%
Wins by 4+ goals0.11%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals32.10%
Wins by 3+ goals13.81%
Wins by 4+ goals4.82%
Wins by 5+ goals1.39%
Wins by 6+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Belenenses
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal11.86%
Wins by 2 goals3.59%
Wins by 3 goals0.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.11%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal26.73%
Wins by 2 goals18.29%
Wins by 3 goals8.99%
Wins by 4 goals3.43%
Wins by 5 goals1.06%
Wins by 6 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.19%9.81%
1.567.42%32.58%
2.540.99%59.01%
3.520.52%79.48%
4.58.64%91.36%
5.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.02%48.98%
1.516.06%83.94%
2.53.58%96.42%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.98%20.02%
1.547.78%52.22%
2.521.88%78.12%
3.58.00%92.00%
4.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.88%34.12%
1.529.19%70.81%
2.59.46%90.54%
3.52.39%97.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Belenenses
Estoril
Score012345
0
9.81%
15.77%
12.68%
6.80%
2.74%
0.88%
1
7.00%
11.26%
9.05%
4.85%
1.95%
0.63%
2
2.50%
4.02%
3.23%
1.73%
0.70%
0.22%
3
0.59%
0.96%
0.77%
0.41%
0.17%
0.05%
4
0.11%
0.17%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
Belenenses
1-07.00%
2-02.50%
2-14.02%
3-00.59%
3-10.96%
3-20.77%
4-00.11%
4-10.17%
4-20.14%
Draw
0-09.81%
1-111.26%
2-23.23%
3-30.41%
Estoril
0-115.77%
0-212.68%
1-29.05%
0-36.80%
1-34.85%
2-31.73%
0-42.74%
1-41.95%
2-40.70%
3-40.17%
0-50.88%
1-50.63%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Belenenses
Estoril
Score01234
0
34.12%
25.41%
9.46%
2.35%
0.44%
1
11.28%
8.40%
3.13%
0.78%
0.14%
2
1.86%
1.39%
0.52%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.21%
0.15%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Belenenses
1-011.28%
2-01.86%
2-11.39%
3-00.21%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-034.12%
1-18.40%
2-20.52%
Estoril
0-125.41%
0-29.46%
1-23.13%
0-32.35%
1-30.78%
2-30.13%
0-40.44%
1-40.14%