Estoril at Benfica

Updated

Estoril

12.8%19.0%68.2%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.81Projected Goals 2.15
1Final Score 2

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Portimonense+125
T 0-0 at Gil Vicente FC+330
L 3-2 vs Boavista+145
L 0-3 at Sporting CP+1000
W 0-1 vs Tondela-105
Benfica
Money Line
T 1-1 vs FC Vizela-405
W 2-1 at Portimonense-200
W 0-3 vs Vitoria-310
T 2-2 at Boavista-255
W 1-2 vs Santa Clara-325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+500+750+660+877+791+660+877+895.2
Benfica-210-315-312-303-315-312-303-259.6
Draw+340+400+420+444+430+420+444+463.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+750----+850+850+895.2
Benfica-280-----325-325-259.6
Draw+405----+450+450+463.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +680 to +660
Benfica ML moved from -305 to -315

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +925 to +850
Benfica ML moved from -330 to -350

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118o3-108o3-108o3-103-o3-108o3-103o3+104
Underu2¾-102u3-112u3-112u3-112-u3-112u3-112u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+104
Under-----u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.18%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 416.58%
Exactly 64.84%
Exactly 80.76%
 
Exactly 115.34%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.81%
Exactly 72.05%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 044.51%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 214.58%
Exactly 33.94%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 011.64%
Exactly 125.04%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 319.30%
Exactly 410.38%
Exactly 54.46%
Exactly 61.60%
Exactly 70.49%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.40%
Exactly 223.85%
Exactly 43.73%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.81%
Exactly 310.90%
Exactly 51.02%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 068.74%
Exactly 125.77%
Exactly 24.83%
Exactly 30.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 036.94%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.32%
Exactly 36.08%
Exactly 41.51%
Exactly 50.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals3.75%
Wins by 3+ goals0.83%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals44.04%
Wins by 3+ goals23.40%
Wins by 4+ goals10.35%
Wins by 5+ goals3.87%
Wins by 6+ goals1.23%
Wins by 7+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Benfica
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal9.07%
Wins by 2 goals2.92%
Wins by 3 goals0.69%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal24.10%
Wins by 2 goals20.64%
Wins by 3 goals13.05%
Wins by 4 goals6.48%
Wins by 5 goals2.64%
Wins by 6 goals0.91%
Wins by 7 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.82%5.18%
1.579.48%20.52%
2.556.78%43.22%
3.534.39%65.61%
4.517.81%82.19%
5.58.00%92.00%
6.53.15%96.85%
7.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.49%44.51%
1.519.46%80.54%
2.54.88%95.12%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.36%11.64%
1.563.32%36.68%
2.536.40%63.60%
3.517.10%82.90%
4.56.73%93.27%
5.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.60%25.40%
1.539.80%60.20%
2.515.94%84.06%
3.55.05%94.95%
4.51.31%98.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Benfica
Score012345
0
5.18%
11.14%
11.98%
8.59%
4.62%
1.99%
1
4.19%
9.02%
9.70%
6.95%
3.74%
1.61%
2
1.70%
3.65%
3.93%
2.81%
1.51%
0.65%
3
0.46%
0.99%
1.06%
0.76%
0.41%
0.18%
Estoril
1-04.19%
2-01.70%
2-13.65%
3-00.46%
3-10.99%
3-21.06%
Draw
0-05.18%
1-19.02%
2-23.93%
3-30.76%
Benfica
0-111.14%
0-211.98%
1-29.70%
0-38.59%
1-36.95%
2-32.81%
0-44.62%
1-43.74%
2-41.51%
3-40.41%
0-51.99%
1-51.61%
2-50.65%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Benfica
Score012345
0
25.40%
25.29%
12.59%
4.18%
1.04%
0.21%
1
9.52%
9.48%
4.72%
1.57%
0.39%
0.08%
2
1.78%
1.78%
0.88%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.22%
0.22%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Estoril
1-09.52%
2-01.78%
2-11.78%
3-00.22%
3-10.22%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-025.40%
1-19.48%
2-20.88%
Benfica
0-125.29%
0-212.59%
1-24.72%
0-34.18%
1-31.57%
2-30.29%
0-41.04%
1-40.39%
0-50.21%