Vitória at Nacional

Updated

Vitoria

25.6%27.5%46.8%
Vitória WinDrawNacional Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.36
0Final Score 2

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Casa Pia AC-140
L 1-5 at Sporting CP+815
W 0-2 vs Rio Ave-130
W 1-0 at Gil Vicente FC+305
T 1-1 at AVS-170
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-2 at Santa Clara+230
L 2-1 vs AVS-200
W 2-0 at Tondela+155
W 0-1 vs Alverca+125
L 0-2 at Benfica+1525

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+255-+235+240+244+240+244+260.4
Nacional-106-+114+112+118+112+118+124.7
Draw+270-+235+240+244+240+244+260.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+295----+285+285+260.4
Nacional-110----+105+105+124.7
Draw+265----+230+230+260.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 0.0%
Nacional: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from +250 to +240
Nacional ML moved from +117 to +105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 60.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from +245 to +230
Nacional ML moved from +130 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108-o2½-105o2¾+116o2½-103o2¾+116o2½-103o2¾+124
Underu2¾-112-u2½-115u2¾-136u2½-111u2¾-136u2¾-136u2¾-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+124
Under-----u2¾-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾+104 to o2¾-117
The Under moved from u2¾-122 to u2½-112

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.06%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 411.66%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.11%
Exactly 320.31%
Exactly 55.35%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 039.38%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.10%
Exactly 35.31%
Exactly 41.24%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 025.55%
Exactly 134.86%
Exactly 223.79%
Exactly 310.82%
Exactly 43.69%
Exactly 51.01%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.54%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 41.84%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 064.96%
Exactly 128.03%
Exactly 26.05%
Exactly 30.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 053.17%
Exactly 133.59%
Exactly 210.61%
Exactly 32.23%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals8.84%
Wins by 3+ goals2.30%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals22.26%
Wins by 3+ goals8.23%
Wins by 4+ goals2.43%
Wins by 5+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Nacional
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal16.74%
Wins by 2 goals6.54%
Wins by 3 goals1.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal24.52%
Wins by 2 goals14.02%
Wins by 3 goals5.80%
Wins by 4 goals1.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.94%10.06%
1.566.83%33.17%
2.540.30%59.70%
3.519.99%80.01%
4.58.33%91.67%
5.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.62%39.38%
1.523.92%76.08%
2.56.82%93.18%
3.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.45%25.55%
1.539.58%60.42%
2.515.80%84.20%
3.54.98%95.02%
4.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.46%34.54%
1.528.75%71.25%
2.59.23%90.77%
3.52.31%97.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Nacional
Score012345
0
10.06%
13.73%
9.37%
4.26%
1.45%
0.40%
1
9.38%
12.79%
8.73%
3.97%
1.35%
0.37%
2
4.37%
5.96%
4.07%
1.85%
0.63%
0.17%
3
1.36%
1.85%
1.26%
0.57%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.32%
0.43%
0.29%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
Vitoria
1-09.38%
2-04.37%
2-15.96%
3-01.36%
3-11.85%
3-21.26%
4-00.32%
4-10.43%
4-20.29%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.06%
1-112.79%
2-24.07%
3-30.57%
Nacional
0-113.73%
0-29.37%
1-28.73%
0-34.26%
1-33.97%
2-31.85%
0-41.45%
1-41.35%
2-40.63%
3-40.20%
0-50.40%
1-50.37%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Nacional
Score01234
0
34.54%
21.82%
6.89%
1.45%
0.23%
1
14.90%
9.41%
2.97%
0.63%
0.10%
2
3.21%
2.03%
0.64%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.46%
0.29%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-014.90%
2-03.21%
2-12.03%
3-00.46%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-034.54%
1-19.41%
2-20.64%
Nacional
0-121.82%
0-26.89%
1-22.97%
0-31.45%
1-30.63%
2-30.14%
0-40.23%