Alverca at Nacional

Updated

Alverca

30.0%25.9%44.0%
Alverca WinDrawNacional Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.46
0Final Score 1

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Alverca
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Casa Pia AC-115
W 2-1 at Rio Ave+160
L 4-1 vs Sporting CP+975
T 2-2 at Gil Vicente FC+450
T 0-0 vs AVS-150
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-2 at Benfica+1525
W 0-2 vs Estrela-120
L 0-1 at Famalicao+445
L 1-0 vs Estoril+120
T 1-1 at Moreirense+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alverca+215-+215+220+220+220+220+238.3
Nacional+120-+116+116+116+116+116+128.3
Draw+240-+250+255+255+255+255+275.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alverca+220----+210+210+238.3
Nacional+120----+125+125+128.3
Draw+255----+250+250+275.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alverca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alverca: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alverca: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alverca ML moved from +225 to +215
Nacional ML moved from +128 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alverca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alverca: 0.0%
Nacional: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alverca: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alverca ML moved from +220 to +210
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112-o2¾+100o2¾+104o2¾+104o2¾+104o2¾+104o2¾+113
Underu2½-108-u2¾-120u2¾-124u2¾-124u2¾-124u2¾-120u2¾-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+113
Under-----u2¾-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.29%
Exactly 224.99%
Exactly 414.29%
Exactly 63.27%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.09%
Exactly 321.82%
Exactly 57.48%
Exactly 71.22%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Alverca
Exactly 031.38%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 221.08%
Exactly 38.14%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 023.23%
Exactly 133.91%
Exactly 224.75%
Exactly 312.04%
Exactly 44.40%
Exactly 51.28%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.74%
Exactly 221.87%
Exactly 42.68%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 38.84%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alverca
Exactly 058.47%
Exactly 131.38%
Exactly 28.42%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 050.87%
Exactly 134.38%
Exactly 211.62%
Exactly 32.62%
Exactly 40.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alverca
Wins by 2+ goals12.10%
Wins by 3+ goals3.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals21.38%
Wins by 3+ goals8.20%
Wins by 4+ goals2.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.61%

Exact Winning Margin

Alverca
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Alverca
Wins by 1 goal17.92%
Wins by 2 goals8.31%
Wins by 3 goals2.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal22.57%
Wins by 2 goals13.18%
Wins by 3 goals5.67%
Wins by 4 goals1.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.71%7.29%
1.573.63%26.37%
2.548.63%51.37%
3.526.81%73.19%
4.512.53%87.47%
5.55.04%94.96%
6.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Alverca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.62%31.38%
1.532.25%67.75%
2.511.18%88.82%
3.53.03%96.97%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.77%23.23%
1.542.87%57.13%
2.518.12%81.88%
3.56.07%93.93%
4.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.26%29.74%
1.534.19%65.81%
2.512.33%87.67%
3.53.49%96.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alverca
Nacional
Score012345
0
7.29%
10.64%
7.77%
3.78%
1.38%
0.40%
1
8.45%
12.33%
9.00%
4.38%
1.60%
0.47%
2
4.90%
7.15%
5.22%
2.54%
0.93%
0.27%
3
1.89%
2.76%
2.02%
0.98%
0.36%
0.10%
4
0.55%
0.80%
0.58%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.13%
0.19%
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Alverca
1-08.45%
2-04.90%
2-17.15%
3-01.89%
3-12.76%
3-22.02%
4-00.55%
4-10.80%
4-20.58%
4-30.28%
5-00.13%
5-10.19%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-07.29%
1-112.33%
2-25.22%
3-30.98%
4-40.10%
Nacional
0-110.64%
0-27.77%
1-29.00%
0-33.78%
1-34.38%
2-32.54%
0-41.38%
1-41.60%
2-40.93%
3-40.36%
0-50.40%
1-50.47%
2-50.27%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Alverca
Nacional
Score01234
0
29.74%
20.10%
6.79%
1.53%
0.26%
1
15.96%
10.79%
3.65%
0.82%
0.14%
2
4.28%
2.90%
0.98%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.77%
0.52%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Alverca
1-015.96%
2-04.28%
2-12.90%
3-00.77%
3-10.52%
3-20.18%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-029.74%
1-110.79%
2-20.98%
Nacional
0-120.10%
0-26.79%
1-23.65%
0-31.53%
1-30.82%
2-30.22%
0-40.26%
1-40.14%